The Miami Marlins (75-72) host the Atlanta Braves (96-50) in NL East play, at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Marlins are an underdog at home (+143) versus the Braves (-174). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of September 15, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -174 | +143 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been favorites in 132 games this season and won 88 (66.7%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has entered 72 games this season favored by -174 or more and is 51-21 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 63.5% chance to win.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 80 of its 146 chances.
- The Braves are 78-68-0 ATS in their 146 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 5.84 |
| K/9 | 11.0 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 35 wins in the 79 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win eight times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 67 of 147 chances this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread record of 66-81-0 in 147 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder’s team is 16-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw seven innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Elder will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- He has six appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 28 chances this season.
- Elder’s team has won 73.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-6).
- Elder’s team has won 20 of his 28 starts this season.
- Games started by Elder have a 12-15-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 63 | 58.2 | 74 | 3.84 | 19 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 61 | 57.1 | 85 | 4.71 | 10 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 55 | 56.2 | 76 | 2.70 | 8 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 54 | 49.1 | 53 | 4.38 | 4 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 52 | 50.2 | 65 | 3.37 | 12 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto
- The Marlins are sending Cueto (1-4) to make his ninth start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 6.15 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 41 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Saturday, the righty went 3 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Cueto is trying to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have a 1-4 record in Cueto’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Cueto’s team has a 2-6 record in his starts this season.
- Cueto’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of eight contests.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 61 | 69.1 | 93 | 2.21 | 24 | 8 |
| David Robertson | 55 | 59 | 68 | 3.05 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 52 | 50 | 65 | 2.88 | 15 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 52 | 53.2 | 66 | 3.86 | 12 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 51 | 48.1 | 66 | 4.47 | 1 | 15 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 61-21 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has gone 35-4 in its 39 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 102 games this season, and is 73-29 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 76-19 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 28-12 over the 40 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 45 games this season and are 23-22 in those matchups.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-3.
- In 106 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 61-45.
- Miami has won 52 of its 66 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 20-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-174)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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