Clarke Schmidt’s New York Yankees (73-73) take on the Boston Red Sox (74-72) on Thursday at , as he tries to pick up his 10th win of the campaign. It starts at 7:15 PM ET.
An expected tight matchup features the Yankees (-114 on the moneyline) against the Red Sox (-106). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 14, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -114 | -106 | 9.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 47 out of the 88 games, or 53.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season New York has won 43 of its 79 games, or 54.4%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 146 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 71-75-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.87 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 35, or 47.9%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Boston has a mark of 34-36 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 146 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox are 71-75-0 against the spread in their 146 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Schmidt
- Schmidt’s team is 13-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, Sept. 6, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers.
- In 28 starts this season, Schmidt has lasted five or more innings 19 times, with an average of 4.8 innings per appearance.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 29 chances this season.
- Schmidt’s team has won 47.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-10).
- Schmidt’s team has a 12-16 record in his starts this season.
- In Schmidt’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 60 | 53 | 51 | 2.89 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 58 | 57 | 65 | 2.68 | 5 | 19 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 40 | 38 | 44 | 2.61 | 14 | 1 |
| Michael King | 39 | 87.2 | 108 | 2.77 | 8 | 6 |
| Nick Ramirez | 28 | 36.2 | 27 | 2.70 | 2 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Robertson
- Robertson will take the mound to start for the Red Sox, his first this season.
- The 25-year-old right-hander is making his MLB debut.
- Robertson did not pitch as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 52 | 48.1 | 43 | 1.12 | 22 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 52 | 76.1 | 70 | 2.95 | 18 | 3 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 40 | 45 | 53 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 37 | 40 | 45 | 3.38 | 10 | 1 |
| Mauricio Llovera | 23 | 28.1 | 26 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have put up two or more homers in 75 games this season, and are 56-19 in those outings.
- New York has put up five or more extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 18-4 in those contests.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 84 times this season, and has a 56-28 record in those games.
- New York has a 52-16 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Yankees are 27-20 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 33-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 42 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-12.
- They have won 61 of the 101 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has won 62 of its 76 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-13
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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