Padres vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

The San Diego Padres (69-78) and Oakland Athletics (46-100) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series victory over the Dodgers, and the Athletics a series win over the Astros.

The Padres are a favorite (-151) at the Athletics (+124). The over/under for this game is 9.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of September 15, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -151 +124 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 109 games this season and won 57 (52.3%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 36-25 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 62 of 147 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 70-77-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 16
ERA 5.38
K/9 8.1

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have been underdogs in 143 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (31.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Oakland has come away with a win 36 times in 123 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Athletics have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Oakland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of its 146 opportunities.
  • The Athletics have an against the spread mark of 73-73-0 in 146 games with a line this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 17
ERA 4.30
K/9 7.3

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo

  • Lugo’s team is 10-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
  • Lugo has made 19 starts of five or more innings in 23 chances this season, and averages 5.4 frames when he pitches.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
  • Lugo’s team is 8-11 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Lugo’s team has won nine of his 23 starts this season.
  • Out of Lugo’s 23 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 54 55.1 49 3.9 9 0
Nick Martínez 53 98.1 90 3.84 15 1
Scott Barlow 52 58.1 67 4.78 3 13
Josh Hader 52 48.2 78 1.29 0 28
Tom Cosgrove 43 45 40 1.6 4 0

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Sean Newcomb

  • Newcomb (1-0) makes the start for the Athletics, his second of the season.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, when he went four scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
  • He is trying to make his third straight outing with no earned runs given up.
  • The Athletics were the underdog on the moneyline for one Newcomb start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Newcomb’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Trevor May 45 42.1 34 3.61 1 19
Lucas Erceg 44 48 59 5.44 9 0
Adrian Martinez 17 43.2 38 5.77 1 0
Dany Jimenez 17 16.2 11 3.78 4 1
Ken Waldichuk 11 126 120 5.36 0 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 36-27 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
  • San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 33 games this season, and has gone 25-8 in those contests.
  • The team is 54-26 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • San Diego has a 56-13 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 57 games this season, and are 30-27 in those contests.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They are 30-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-5.
  • They have a record of 32-32 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Oakland has won 35 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 20-16 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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