The Washington Nationals (65-82) will look to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Milwaukee Brewers (82-64) at 8:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Brewers are favored (-276 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at home against the Nationals (+220). The game’s total is 8.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of September 15, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -276 | +220 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 75 games this season and won 43 (57.3%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has played as favorites of -276 or more once this season and won that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 73.4% chance to win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of its 146 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 74-72-0 in 146 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 2.08 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 136 games this year and have walked away with the win 57 times (41.9%) in those games.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 4-6 when favored by +220 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 31.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of its 146 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 78-68-0 against the spread in their 146 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley’s team is 10-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit.
- In 20 starts, Miley has pitched through or past the fifth inning 16 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
- He has made 20 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Miley’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Miley has started, his team is 12-8.
- Out of Miley’s 20 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 66 | 59 | 56 | 2.14 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 61 | 65 | 72 | 2.35 | 25 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 57 | 60 | 52 | 3.45 | 20 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 56 | 54.2 | 79 | 1.65 | 0 | 34 |
| Andrew Chafin | 53 | 45.1 | 60 | 5.36 | 12 | 8 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin makes the start for the Nationals, his 23rd of the season. He is 3-5 with a 4.20 ERA and 92 strikeouts over 113 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Irvin will try to go five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
- In two of his 22 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 9-11 record in Irvin’s 20 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Irvin’s team is 11-11 over his 22 starts.
- Irvin has had 22 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those outings finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 60 | 63.2 | 59 | 3.11 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 51 | 53 | 60 | 2.89 | 17 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 44 | 49 | 53 | 3.12 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 36 | 40.1 | 35 | 5.13 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 32 | 29 | 21 | 3.72 | 5 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 41-10 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 18 games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 75 games this season, and is 56-19 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 67-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn at least five walks in 49 games this season, and are 37-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 24 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-4.
- They have won 53 of the 96 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 46 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 16 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-276)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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