Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (65-81) will look to Richard Palacios, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Philadelphia Phillies (79-67) at 8:15 PM ET on Friday, at Busch Stadium.

The Phillies (-118 moneyline odds to win) and the Cardinals (-103) will take the field in an expected tight contest. The total for this game is 8.5.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of September 15, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -118 -103 8.5

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 98 times this season and won 57, or 58.2%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia is 52-34 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 146 chances.
  • In 146 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 67-79-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 16
ERA 4.95
K/9 8.8

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won in 31, or 44.9%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, St. Louis has been victorious 27 times in 58 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of its 145 opportunities.
  • In 145 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 67-78-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 15
ERA 5.28
K/9 6.6

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

  • Nola’s team is 13-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • Nola has started 29 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 25 times. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 29 chances this season.
  • Nola’s team is 13-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Nola’s team is 16-13 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Nola’s 29 starts with a total this season, 17 have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 64 62 82 3.34 5 23
Gregory Soto 61 54.2 54 4.94 20 2
Seranthony Domínguez 51 44 42 4.09 12 2
Jeff Hoffman 45 47 64 2.30 7 1
Matt Strahm 41 82 103 3.29 9 1

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Zack Thompson

  • Thompson makes the start for the Cardinals, his seventh of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.06 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, the lefty tossed five innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Thompson will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 2.3 frames per outing.
  • He has had 11 appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Thompson start this season — they won.
  • Thompson’s team has compiled a 4-2 record in his six starts.
  • Thompson has had six starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those games hit the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 54 60 41 5.25 14 0
Giovanny Gallegos 54 54.2 59 4.28 19 10
Drew VerHagen 53 55 53 4.09 12 0
John King 29 32.2 17 3.86 9 0
Ryan Helsley 27 31 41 2.61 2 10

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 40-16 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Philadelphia has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 42 games this season, and has gone 32-10 in those contests.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 97 games this season, and is 62-35 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 58-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 55 games this season, and are 36-19 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 43 of the 66 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 33-7.
  • They have a record of 63-36 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • St. Louis has a 57-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 20 of their 46 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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