Dodgers vs. Mariners Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

Max Muncy will look for his 100th RBI of the year (he has 98) when the Los Angeles Dodgers (88-57) play the Seattle Mariners (81-65) at 10:10 PM ET on Friday.

An expected close matchup pits the Dodgers (-110 moneyline odds to win) against the Mariners (-109). The game’s total is 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 15, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Mariners Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -110 -109 7.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 121 times this season and won 76, or 62.8%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles is 76-45 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 83 of 144 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 79-65-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 14
ERA 4.85
K/9 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been underdogs in 44 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (50%) in those contests.
  • Seattle has a mark of 22-21 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 74 of 146 chances this season.
  • In 146 games with a line this season, the Mariners have a mark of 69-77-0 against the spread.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 15
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.5

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller

  • Miller and his team are 11-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up five earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
  • Miller will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
  • He has made 18 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Miller’s team has a record of 10-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Miller has started, his team is 12-6.
  • Games Miller has started this season hit the over 11 times in 18 chances.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 58 60.2 44 1.34 17 7
Caleb Ferguson 54 53.2 58 2.85 16 3
Evan Phillips 53 54.2 60 2.47 6 22
Ryan Brasier 50 54.1 51 3.31 9 2
Alex Vesia 48 43.2 58 4.74 9 1

Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby (10-9 with a 3.48 ERA and 151 strikeouts in 165 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mariners, his 28th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Friday, Sept. 8 against the Tampa Bay Rays, the righty threw 6 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Kirby will look to secure his 23rd outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance.
  • He has made five appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Mariners are 2-3 in Kirby’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Kirby’s team has compiled a 14-13 record over his 27 starts.
  • Kirby’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 27 games.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 70 63 100 3.14 23 4
Justin Topa 65 60.1 54 2.54 23 2
Gabe Speier 61 48 53 3.56 17 1
Dominic Leone 46 48.2 49 4.99 3 1
Andres Munoz 46 43.2 62 2.89 13 13

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 53-19 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Los Angeles has collected five or more extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 34-9 in those outings.
  • The club is 70-25 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 73-20 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 63 games this season, and are 43-20 in those contests.

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • They are 41-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Seattle has won 26 of its 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 91 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 63-28.
  • Seattle has won 67 of its 78 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 33-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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