A.J. Dillon: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Packers Vs Falcons – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

Week 2 NFL action will see A.J. Dillon and the Green Bay Packers face off against the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

A.J. Dillon Player Props vs the Falcons

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
58.5 -115 18.5 -115 +110

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 6 7
Games w/1+ TDs 6 0
Games w/2+ TDs 1 0

A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends

  • Dillon racked up 770 yards on 186 carries (45.3 ypg), with seven rushing touchdowns last season.
  • He averaged 4.1 rushing yards per attempt (770 yards on 186 carries), 34th in the NFL.
  • Dillon was 32nd in the NFL with 770 yards rushing last season, and his seven rushing TDs ranked 16th.

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Dillon’s Receiving Trends

  • Dillon averaged 4.8 yards per catch (206 yards on 28 receptions) last year.

This Week’s Predictions

Dillon (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Falcons (2022) Prediction
58.5+ Rushing Yards 29.4% 43% 42.9% 34.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 35.3% 35.1% 32.1% 34.5%
2+ Rushing TDs 5.9% 6.4% 3.6% 5.4%
18.5+ Receiving Yards 23.5% 76.9% 75.3% 43.1%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.3% 22.2% 8.3%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 6.2% 2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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