Tigers vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 14, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (76-71) aim to extend their three-game winning streak when they take on the Detroit Tigers (66-79) on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, at Comerica Park.

The favored Tigers (-126 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Reds (+105). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 14, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Tigers vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Tigers -126 +105 8.5

Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Tigers have won 17 out of the 29 games, or 58.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Detroit has a record of 11-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 55.8% chance to win.
  • Games involving Detroit has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 69 of 146 chances this season.
  • The Tigers are 77-69-0 ATS in their 146 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 8
ERA 2.93
K/9 8.6

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in 54, or 49.1%, of the 110 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 42-46 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 71 of its 147 opportunities.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 87-60-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 14
ERA 5.14
K/9 9.0

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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson

  • Olson’s team is 10-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • Olson has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
  • Olson’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2.
  • Olson’s team is 8-8 when he starts this season.
  • In games Olson has started this season, the teams are 8-7-1 at hitting the over.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 61 61.2 53 2.48 23 7
Alex Lange 59 59 71 3.51 5 23
José Cisnero 55 52 60 5.37 13 2
Tyler Holton 50 75.1 67 2.15 11 1
Will Vest 36 40 45 3.15 9 0

Reds Probable Pitcher – Derek Law

  • Law (4-5) makes the start for the Reds, his third of the season.
  • His last time out came out of the bullpen on Friday when the right-hander tossed one scoreless inning against the St. Louis Cardinals while giving up only one hit.
  • In 34 of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
  • The Reds were the moneyline underdog for two Law starts this season — they won both.
  • His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Law’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 65 69 65 3.13 21 2
Alexis Diaz 63 62.2 82 2.15 1 36
Buck Farmer 63 69.1 63 3.50 10 3
Sam Moll 60 54.2 64 3.46 8 1
Lucas Sims 59 55.2 69 3.40 22 3

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • The Tigers have a 26-13 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Detroit is 22-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 84 times this season, and has a 59-25 record in those games.
  • Detroit has a 45-15 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Tigers are 22-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 35-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cincinnati has won 30 of its 39 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 67-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Cincinnati has a 69-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 23-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Tigers vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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