The Miami Marlins (75-71) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (81-64) at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Marlins are favored (-110) in an expected close game against the Brewers (-109). The contest has a set total of 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 14, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -110 | -109 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 40, or 59.7%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami is 40-27 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of its 146 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 66-80-0 against the spread in their 146 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 38, or 54.3%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Milwaukee has a mark of 37-32 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of its 145 opportunities.
- The Brewers have posted a record of 73-72-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.27 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- Perez and his team are 9-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday.
- Perez has 11 starts of five or more innings this season in 17 chances. He averages 4.9 innings per outing.
- He has finished seven appearances without allowing an earned run in 17 chances this season.
- Perez’s team has a record of 4-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Perez’s team has won eight of his 17 starts this season.
- Games started by Perez have a 4-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 61 | 69.1 | 93 | 2.21 | 24 | 8 |
| David Robertson | 55 | 59 | 68 | 3.05 | 8 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 52 | 50 | 65 | 2.88 | 15 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 51 | 48.1 | 66 | 4.47 | 1 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 51 | 53 | 66 | 3.74 | 12 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- The Brewers will send Houser (5-4) to the mound for his 18th start of the season. He is 5-4 with a 4.58 ERA and 77 strikeouts over 90 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Sunday, Aug. 27 against the San Diego Padres, when the righty went two innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Houser has 11 starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Houser’s starts this season, and they went 8-5 in those games.
- Houser’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
- Houser has started 17 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 66 | 59 | 56 | 2.14 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 60 | 64 | 71 | 2.39 | 24 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 56 | 59 | 50 | 3.51 | 19 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 55 | 53.2 | 79 | 1.68 | 0 | 33 |
| Andrew Chafin | 53 | 45.1 | 60 | 5.36 | 12 | 8 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 23-22 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 24-3 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 106 games this season, and is 61-45 in those contests.
- Miami is 52-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 20-12 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 41 of the 51 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 18 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 56-19.
- Milwaukee has won 67 of its 77 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 49 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 37-12
Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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