Mariners vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

The Los Angeles Angels (68-78) will look for Randal Grichuk to extend a 10-game hitting streak versus the Seattle Mariners (80-65), on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park.

The Mariners are a heavy home favorite (-325) against the Angels (+257). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of September 13, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Angels Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -325 +257 7.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 58, or 57.4%, of the 101 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has played as favorites of -325 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 76.5%.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 74 of its 145 chances.
  • The Mariners are 69-76-0 ATS in their 145 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 17
ERA 4.71
K/9 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have won in 32, or 43.2%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Los Angeles this season with a +257 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Angels have an implied victory probability of 28% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 75 of its 146 opportunities.
  • The Angels are 67-79-0 against the spread in their 146 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 13
ERA 4.35
K/9 6.5

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo

  • Castillo and his team have a record of 10-19-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays while allowing four hits.
  • Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 29 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has made 29 appearances and finished nine of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Castillo’s team is 16-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Castillo’s team has won 17 of his 29 starts.
  • In games Castillo has started this season, the teams are 16-13-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 69 62 97 3.19 22 4
Justin Topa 64 59.1 53 2.58 22 2
Gabe Speier 61 48 53 3.56 17 1
Dominic Leone 46 48.2 49 4.99 3 1
Andres Munoz 45 42.2 60 2.95 13 12

Angels Probable Pitcher – Andrew Wantz

  • Wantz gets the call to start for the Angels, his first of the season.
  • The 27-year-old right-hander has appeared out of the bullpen 20 times this season.
  • Wantz and his team were underdogs on the moneyline each time he pitched a season ago.
  • His team won the only game he appeared in last season.
  • He pitched in just one game with a set total last season, and the teams combined to go under.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 56 58 71 3.41 2 30
Aaron Loup 52 45.2 42 5.72 9 1
Jose Soriano 32 36 46 4 13 0
Jimmy Herget 22 21.2 18 4.57 5 0
Andrew Wantz 20 28.1 24 4.13 4 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have a 41-15 record this season in games when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Seattle is 26-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 91 games this season, and is 63-28 in those contests.
  • Seattle is 67-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 48 games this season, and are 33-15 in those contests.

Angels Hitting Trends

  • They are 36-20 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-9.
  • They have won 50 of the 90 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Los Angeles has a 49-21 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 20-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mariners vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-325)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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