The Los Angeles Dodgers (88-56) and San Diego Padres (68-78) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 10:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Dodgers are favored at home (-124) against the Padres (+104). The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 13, 2023 at 9:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -124 | +104 | 8 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have won 76, or 63.3%, of the 120 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Los Angeles has won 65 of its 104 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -124 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 55.4% chance to win.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 83 of its 143 chances.
- The Dodgers are 79-64-0 against the spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been victorious in 11, or 30.6%, of the 36 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious five times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 62 of 146 chances this season.
- The Padres have posted a record of 69-77-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.29 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Ryan Pepiot
- Pepiot has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while allowing one hit.
- Pepiot will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
- Pepiot’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Pepiot and his team have won each of the three games he’s started this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Pepiot this season, the teams hit the over once.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusdar Graterol | 58 | 60.2 | 44 | 1.34 | 17 | 7 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 54 | 53.2 | 58 | 2.85 | 16 | 3 |
| Evan Phillips | 53 | 54.2 | 60 | 2.47 | 6 | 22 |
| Ryan Brasier | 50 | 54.1 | 51 | 3.31 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Vesia | 47 | 42.1 | 55 | 4.89 | 9 | 1 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell makes the start for the Padres, his 30th of the season. He is 13-9 with a 2.52 ERA and 209 strikeouts in 161 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Houston Astros, when he went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Snell will look to build on a 21-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
- In 10 of his 29 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Padres are 1-4 in Snell’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Snell’s team is 15-14 over his 29 starts.
- Snell has had 29 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 11 of those games.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Garcia | 54 | 55.1 | 49 | 3.9 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 52 | 48.2 | 78 | 1.29 | 0 | 28 |
| Nick Martínez | 52 | 97.1 | 90 | 3.88 | 15 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 52 | 58.1 | 67 | 4.78 | 3 | 13 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 42 | 44 | 38 | 1.43 | 4 | 0 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers are 53-19 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
- Los Angeles has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 34-9 in those contests.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 95 times this season, and has a 70-25 record in those games.
- Los Angeles has a 73-20 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 63 games this season, and are 43-20 in those contests.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won 35 of the 62 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has won 25 of its 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 53 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 55-13.
- They have won 30 of their 57 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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