Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (78-68) visit the Colorado Rockies (52-92) at 3:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Cubs are the road favorite (-192) versus the Rockies (+159). The total for this game is 11.5.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 13, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -192 +159 11.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 48, or 58.5%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 4-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -192 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 65.8% chance to win.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 70 of its 146 chances.
  • The Cubs have an ATS record of 71-75-0 in 146 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 12
ERA 3.70
K/9 8.7

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been underdogs in 129 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (36.4%) in those contests.
  • Colorado has a mark of 23-54 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of its 144 opportunities.
  • The Rockies are 69-75-0 against the spread in their 144 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 3
ERA 6.88
K/9 6.8

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

  • When Taillon starts, his team is 11-15-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Taillon has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 26 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Taillon’s team has been victorious in 38.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-8.
  • In games Taillon has started, his team is 10-16.
  • In games Taillon has started this season, the teams are 12-12-2 at hitting the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 62 65 90 3.18 16 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 62 60.1 76 3.13 28 4
Jose Cuas 59 57.2 64 4.06 8 0
Michael Fulmer 54 57 65 4.42 11 2
Daniel Palencia 21 22 22 4.09 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Ty Blach

  • The Rockies will send Blach (2-1) out for his 10th start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, the left-hander threw five innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • Blach will try to prolong a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.7 innings per appearance).
  • In four of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
  • The Rockies have a 2-6 record in Blach’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Blach’s team is 3-6 in his nine starts.
  • Blach has had nine starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games finished over the total.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 60 68 68 3.97 10 11
Jake Bird 59 83 72 4.45 11 0
Brent Suter 50 62.2 48 3.59 6 0
Matt Koch 32 32.2 19 3.58 6 0
Gavin Hollowell 18 22 21 5.73 2 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs have put up at least two homers in 59 games this season, and are 39-20 in those outings.
  • Chicago has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those outings.
  • The team is 69-26 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Chicago has a 62-15 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Cubs have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 26-20 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 18-13 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 12-16 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 38 of the 86 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-21.
  • They have won 15 of their 22 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-192)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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