The Milwaukee Brewers (81-63) and Miami Marlins (74-71) clash on Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET.
The Brewers are favored (-120 on the moneyline) when they host the Marlins (+101). The over/under for this game is 7.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 13, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -120 | +101 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 74 times and won 43, or 58.1%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 35-25 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 66 of 144 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 73-71-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.47 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (43.6%) in those games.
- This year, Miami has won 25 of 63 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of its 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread record of 65-80-0 in 145 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Trevor Megill
- Megill did not pitch in a game with a spread last season.
- The 29-year-old righty will start for the first time this year after coming out of the bullpen 26 times.
- Megill did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 66 | 59 | 56 | 2.14 | 16 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 60 | 64 | 71 | 2.39 | 24 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 56 | 59 | 50 | 3.51 | 19 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 55 | 53.2 | 79 | 1.68 | 0 | 33 |
| Andrew Chafin | 52 | 44.2 | 59 | 5.24 | 12 | 8 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett (8-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 140 strikeouts in 143 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his 27th of the season.
- In his most recent outing on Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the left-hander went 3 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Garrett has 21 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made five appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Marlins are 7-5 in Garrett’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Garrett’s team has an 18-8 record in his starts this season.
- Garrett has had 26 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 13 of those matchups hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 60 | 68.1 | 92 | 2.24 | 24 | 7 |
| David Robertson | 54 | 58 | 65 | 3.10 | 7 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 51 | 49 | 64 | 2.94 | 14 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 51 | 48.1 | 66 | 4.47 | 1 | 15 |
| Steven Okert | 51 | 53 | 66 | 3.74 | 12 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit at least two round-trippers in 51 games this season, and are 41-10 in those outings.
- Milwaukee has collected at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and won each time.
- The team is 56-19 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee has a 67-10 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 37-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-3.
- In 105 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 60-45.
- Miami has won 52 of its 66 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 32 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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