Matt Vierling rides a 10-game hitting streak into the Detroit Tigers’ (66-78) game versus the Cincinnati Reds (75-71) at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday, at Comerica Park.
The Reds are road underdogs (+114) at the Tigers (-134). The game’s total is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of September 13, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Tigers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -134 | +114 | 8.5 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won 17, or 60.7%, of the 28 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Detroit has a record of 9-7, a 56.2% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Tigers have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 145 games with a total this season.
- In 145 games with a spread this season, the Tigers are 77-68-0 ATS.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.73 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 53, or 48.6%, of the 109 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Cincinnati has won 35 of 75 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 46.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 71 of its 146 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds have posted a record of 86-60-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.04 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodriguez
- Rodriguez and his team have a record of 13-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Thursday.
- Rodriguez has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
- Rodriguez’s team has been victorious in 55.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-4.
- Rodríguez’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts this season.
- Games started by Rodriguez have a 10-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 61 | 61.2 | 53 | 2.48 | 23 | 7 |
| Alex Lange | 59 | 59 | 71 | 3.51 | 5 | 23 |
| José Cisnero | 55 | 52 | 60 | 5.37 | 13 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | 50 | 75.1 | 67 | 2.15 | 11 | 1 |
| Will Vest | 36 | 40 | 45 | 3.15 | 9 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Connor Phillips
- The Reds will send Phillips (0-0) out for his second start of the season.
- His last appearance was on Tuesday, Sept. 5 against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing six hits.
- The Reds were the moneyline underdog for one Phillips start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Phillips’ lone start with a total this season went over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 64 | 68 | 64 | 3.18 | 20 | 2 |
| Buck Farmer | 63 | 69.1 | 63 | 3.50 | 10 | 3 |
| Alexis Diaz | 62 | 61.2 | 80 | 2.19 | 1 | 35 |
| Sam Moll | 59 | 54.1 | 64 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 58 | 55.1 | 68 | 3.42 | 21 | 3 |
Tigers Hitting Trends
- The Tigers have hit at least two dingers in 39 games this season, and are 26-13 in those outings.
- Detroit has collected five or more extra-base hits in 27 games this season, and has gone 22-5 in those outings.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits 84 times this season, and has a 59-25 record in those games.
- Detroit is 45-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Tigers are 22-11 over the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 35-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 30 of its 39 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 95 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 67-28.
- Cincinnati has a 69-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 22 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Tigers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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