Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (76-70) meet the New York Mets (66-78) on Wednesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 PM ET.

The Diamondbacks are a favorite (-156) against the Mets (+131). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 13, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks vs Mets Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Diamondbacks -156 +131 7.5

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 39, or 60.9%, of those games.
  • Arizona has entered 24 games this season favored by -156 or more and is 17-7 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 146 chances.
  • The Diamondbacks are 79-67-0 against the spread in their 146 chances this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 3.64
K/9 8.4

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (30.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has been victorious three times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of its 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets have an against the spread record of 63-82-0 in 145 games with a line this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 19
ERA 4.14
K/9 9.7

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen

  • Gallen’s team is 16-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed three hits in nine scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs.
  • Gallen has 20 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 30 chances this season.
  • Gallen’s team has won 65% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-7).
  • Gallen’s team has won 17 of his 30 starts this season.
  • In games Gallen has started this season, the teams are 15-14-1 at hitting the over.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 64 57.1 49 4.87 12 7
Paul Sewald 61 57 75 3.16 0 33
Scott McGough 59 69.2 85 4.39 14 9
Kyle Nelson 59 52.1 63 3.44 11 0
Kevin Ginkel 54 59.2 62 2.26 8 4

Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi

  • The Mets will send Lucchesi (2-0) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-0 with a 3.54 ERA and 22 strikeouts over 28 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Saturday, Aug. 19 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • Lucchesi has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this year entering this game.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his six outings this season.
  • The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Lucchesi starts this season — they won both.
  • Lucchesi’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Lucchesi has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 61 57.2 55 2.97 12 10
Brooks Raley 59 49 52 2.94 24 3
Trevor Gott 56 52.1 58 4.47 10 1
Drew Smith 55 50.1 57 4.65 11 3
Phil Bickford 54 61 69 5.46 4 1

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have hit at least two homers in 45 games this season, and are 31-14 in those contests.
  • Arizona is 21-7 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 68-33 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • Arizona has a 61-19 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Diamondbacks have gone 24-24 in the 48 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Mets Hitting Trends

  • They are 31-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • New York has gone 19-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 52-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • New York has a 49-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 17-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (+131)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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