Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

The Texas Rangers (80-64) aim to add to their four-game winning streak when they meet the Toronto Blue Jays (80-65) on Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays are favored (-133 on the moneyline) when they host the Rangers (+111). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 13, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -133 +111 8

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 109 times this season and won 60, or 55%, of those games.
  • Toronto has a record of 41-36, a 53.2% win rate, when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 145 chances.
  • The Blue Jays are 67-78-0 against the spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 9
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.8

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 22, or 48.9%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Texas has come away with a win eight times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of its 144 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rangers are 76-68-0 against the spread in their 144 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 18
ERA 6.82
K/9 8.7

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi’s team is 16-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run in five innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • Kikuchi has started 28 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 28 chances this season.
  • Kikuchi’s team has won 61.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-7).
  • Kikuchi’s team is 18-10 when he starts this season.
  • In Kikuchi’s 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yimi Garcia 64 58.1 70 4.32 16 3
Tim Mayza 64 48 45 1.31 22 1
Erik Swanson 60 59 67 3.05 28 4
Jordan Hicks 56 56.2 71 3.49 9 12
Génesis Cabrera 53 51.1 53 4.56 10 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery gets the start for the Rangers, his 29th of the season. He is 8-11 with a 3.62 ERA and 144 strikeouts through 161 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when the lefty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Montgomery heads into the game with 24 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • In five of his 28 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Montgomery’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • Montgomery’s team has won nine of his 28 starts.
  • Montgomery’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 13 of 28 contests.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 58 79.1 79 3.74 8 1
Aroldis Chapman 54 54 97 2.83 13 5
Will Smith 53 52.2 51 3.76 7 22
Brock Burke 49 58.1 49 4.32 11 0
José Leclerc 48 48.1 54 3.17 5 2

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have a 31-14 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Toronto has gone 23-8 in its 31 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits 106 times this season, and has a 71-35 record in those games.
  • Toronto has a 59-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have drawn five or more walks in 41 games this season, and are 29-12 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They are 48-20 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 48 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 34-14.
  • In 114 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 74-40.
  • Texas has a 69-24 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 51 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 32-19

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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