The Tampa Bay Rays (89-57) and Minnesota Twins (76-69) play on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET at Target Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Twins are an underdog (+106 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Rays (-127). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of September 13, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -127 | +106 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 78 out of the 119 games, or 65.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 72 of its 99 games, or 72.7%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 146 games with a total this season.
- In 146 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 82-64-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 48 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (39.6%) in those games.
- Minnesota has a win-loss record of 12-16 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of its 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins have an against the spread record of 70-75-0 in 145 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- Bradley and his team have a record of 8-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- Bradley has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- Bradley’s team has been victorious in 58.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-5.
- Bradley’s team has won eight of his 18 starts this season.
- Games Bradley has started this season hit the over 10 times in 18 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 57 | 52.2 | 51 | 2.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 56 | 50.2 | 56 | 3.73 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 53 | 47 | 69 | 3.26 | 14 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 50 | 58.2 | 48 | 3.22 | 11 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 44 | 40.1 | 58 | 2.23 | 2 | 23 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Dallas Keuchel
- The Twins will send Keuchel (1-1) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 4.78 ERA and 14 strikeouts over 26 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last appearance came on Saturday against the New York Mets, when he threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Keuchel will try to pick up his fifth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.4 innings per appearance.
- In two of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Twins have a 3-1 record in Keuchel’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Keuchel’s team has won four of his five starts.
- Keuchel’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 63 | 59 | 60 | 3.97 | 23 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 57 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 55 | 53.1 | 56 | 5.06 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 54 | 57.1 | 77 | 2.51 | 1 | 26 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 30 | 26.1 | 28 | 2.05 | 14 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 48-16 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
- Tampa Bay has had five or more extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 33-3 in those outings.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 96 times this season, and has a 67-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 67-20 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays have gone 28-9 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 71 games this season and are 54-17 in those matchups.
- In 49 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 41-8.
- They have a record of 64-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has won 69 of its 82 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 49 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 32-17
Rays vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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