Clarke Schmidt tries for his 10th win of the season when the New York Yankees (73-72) visit the Boston Red Sox (73-72) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-141) against the Yankees (+118). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 13, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -141 | +118 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 36 (51.4%) of those contests.
- This season Boston has won 15 of its 32 games, or 46.9%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 78 of 145 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 70-75-0 in 145 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.30 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (44.6%) in those contests.
- This year, New York has won 15 of 30 games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of its 145 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 71-74-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.73 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- Houck and his team are 7-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
- Houck has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Houck’s team has won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Houck’s team has won seven of his 17 starts this season.
- Out of Houck’s 17 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 52 | 76.1 | 70 | 2.95 | 18 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 51 | 47.1 | 43 | 1.14 | 22 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 40 | 45 | 53 | 2.60 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 37 | 40 | 45 | 3.38 | 10 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Schmidt
- Schmidt (9-8 with a 4.54 ERA and 139 strikeouts in 140 2/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 29th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 6 against the Detroit Tigers, the right-hander threw 6 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Schmidt has put up 19 starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made five appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Yankees are 3-6 in Schmidt’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Schmidt’s team has a 12-16 record in his starts this season.
- Schmidt has started 28 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 60 | 53 | 51 | 2.89 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 58 | 57 | 65 | 2.68 | 5 | 19 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 40 | 38 | 44 | 2.61 | 14 | 1 |
| Michael King | 39 | 83 | 100 | 2.82 | 8 | 6 |
| Nick Ramirez | 28 | 36.2 | 27 | 2.70 | 2 | 1 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 32-14 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Boston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 42 games this season, and has gone 30-12 in those outings.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in 100 games this season, and is 60-40 in those contests.
- Boston has a 61-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox are 17-13 in the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 56-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-4.
- In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 56-28.
- New York has won 52 of its 68 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 27-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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