The Boston Red Sox (73-71) and New York Yankees (72-72) meet on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Red Sox are favored (-129 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Yankees (+109). The total for this game is set at 9.5.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 12, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -129 | +109 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 36 (52.2%) of those contests.
- This season Boston has won 23 of its 43 games, or 53.5%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 78 of its 144 chances.
- The Red Sox have an ATS record of 70-74-0 in 144 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 6.37 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 24, or 43.6%, of the 55 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, New York has won 18 of 40 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 65 of its 144 opportunities.
- In 144 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 70-74-0 against the spread.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- When Crawford starts, his team is 9-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Sept. 5, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed three hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- In 19 starts this season, Crawford has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
- He has seven appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
- Crawford’s team is 2-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Crawford’s team is 8-11 when he starts this season.
- Out of Crawford’s 19 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 51 | 75 | 70 | 2.88 | 18 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 50 | 46.1 | 41 | 1.17 | 22 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 48 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.43 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 39 | 44.2 | 52 | 2.62 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 37 | 40 | 45 | 3.38 | 10 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon
- Rodon (2-5 with a 6.60 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 11th of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Thursday against the Detroit Tigers, the lefty went 3 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Rodon enters this matchup with five outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He allowed at least one earned run in all of his appearances in 2023.
- The Yankees are 1-2 in Rodon’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Rodon’s team has a 2-8 record in his 10 starts.
- Rodon has had 10 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those outings hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 60 | 53 | 51 | 2.89 | 18 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 58 | 57 | 65 | 2.68 | 5 | 19 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 40 | 38 | 44 | 2.61 | 14 | 1 |
| Michael King | 39 | 83 | 100 | 2.82 | 8 | 6 |
| Nick Ramirez | 27 | 35.2 | 26 | 2.78 | 2 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have hit two or more long balls in 46 games this season, and are 32-14 in those contests.
- Boston has gone 30-12 in its 42 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 100 games this season, and is 60-40 in those contests.
- Boston is 61-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 17-12 in the 29 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 56-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won 18 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 55-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 52-16.
- They have won 26 of their 46 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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