When the Miami Dolphins (1-0) and the New England Patriots (0-1) square off on Sunday, September 17 at 8:20 PM ET, the Dolphins will be aiming to follow up their recent victory over the Chargers with another win, and the Patriots will be attempting to bounce back from a loss to the Eagles.
The Dolphins are favored (-2.5) in a projected tight game against the Patriots. The total is set at 46.5 points.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 17, 2023 at 7:11 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dolphins Vs Patriots Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -2.5 | 46.5 |
Dolphins vs. Patriots Predictions
| ATS pick | Over/Under pick |
|---|---|
| Dolphins (-2.5) | Over (46.5) |
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Team Stat Rankings (2022)
| Dolphins | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.4 (11) | 21.4 (17) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 23.5 (24) | 20.4 (11) |
| Off. Yards per Play (Rank) | 6.1 (2) | 5.3 (17) |
| Def. Yards per Play (Rank) | 5.3 (13) | 5 (3) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 21 (8) | 23 (17) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 14 (30) | 30 (2) |
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Dolphins Betting Insights
- The Dolphins were 7-8-2 against the spread last season.
- As 2.5-point or greater favorites, Miami went 3-5-2 against the spread last year.
- There were eight Miami games (out of 17) that went over the total last season.
- Dolphins games finished with more than 46.5 points eight times last season.
- The point total average for Miami games last season was 46.8, 0.3 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Patriots Betting Insights
- Patriots posted a 7-9-1 record against the spread last year.
- As 2.5-point underdogs or greater, New England had two wins ATS (2-7) last year.
- There were eight Patriots games (out of 17) that went over the total last season.
- New England games had over 46.5 points seven times last season.
- Patriots games averaged 42.4 total points last season, 4.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Dolphins Players to Watch
- Tua Tagovailoa’s previous season stat line: 3,548 passing yards (272.9 per game), 259-for-400 (64.8%), 25 touchdowns and eight picks.
- Last season Raheem Mostert went to work rushing, for 891 yards on 181 carries (55.7 yards per game) with three touchdowns.
- Braxton Berrios ran for 91 yards on nine carries (5.4 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns last year.
- Tyreek Hill reeled in 119 catches for 1,710 yards (100.6 per game) while being targeted 170 times. He also scored seven touchdowns.
- Jaylen Waddle tacked on 1,356 yards on 75 grabs with eight touchdowns. He was targeted 117 times, and averaged 79.8 receiving yards per game.
- Bradley Chubb did his thing last season with an incredible stat line of eight sacks, five TFL and 39 tackles.
- Jerome Baker was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 100 tackles, six TFL, and four sacks last year.
- Last season David Long had a huge stat line of two interceptions, 86 tackles, seven TFL, and five passes defended.
Patriots Players to Watch
- Mac Jones completed 65.2% of his passes to throw for 2,997 yards and 14 touchdowns last season.
- Rhamondre Stevenson accumulated 1,040 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground in addition to 421 receiving yards and one touchdown through the air during last year’s campaign.
- Ezekiel Elliott ran for 12 touchdowns on 876 yards a year ago.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster was targeted 6.3 times per game and collected 933 receiving yards and three touchdowns over the course of 2022.
- DeVante Parker collected three touchdowns and had 539 receiving yards (41.5 ypg) in 2022.
- Hunter Henry averaged 29.9 receiving yards per game on 3.5 targets per game a season ago.
- Last year Matthew Judon put pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 15.5 sacks, and added 14 TFL and 60 tackles.
- Ja’Whaun Bentley had an impactful defensive performance last season with 122 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and one interception.
- A year ago Jonathan Jones tallied 68 tackles and 11 passes defended as well as four interceptions.
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