Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 12, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (78-67) take a three-game win streak into a road contest versus the Colorado Rockies (51-92) at 8:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Cubs are the road favorite (-172) versus the Rockies (+143). The over/under for this game is 11.5.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 12, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -172 +143 11.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have won 48 out of the 81 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Chicago has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when favored by -172 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.2% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of 145 games with a total.
  • The Cubs are 71-74-0 against the spread in their 145 chances this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 3.30
K/9 8.6

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 46, or 35.9%, of the 128 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Colorado has been victorious 26 times in 92 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 66 of its 143 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread mark of 68-75-0 in 143 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 4
ERA 7.84
K/9 6.4

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Javier Assad

  • Assad and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • Assad has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 26 appearances and finished 11 of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Assad starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
  • Assad’s team has won five of his eight starts this season.
  • Games started by Assad have a 3-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 62 65 90 3.18 16 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 62 60.1 76 3.13 28 4
Jose Cuas 59 57.2 64 4.06 8 0
Michael Fulmer 54 57 65 4.42 11 2
Daniel Palencia 20 20 19 3.60 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • Flexen (1-7) takes the mound first for the Rockies in his 13th start of the season. He has a 7.36 ERA in 80 2/3 innings pitched, with 60 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the righty tossed 2 1/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Flexen heads into this game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He has made five appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rockies have been the underdog on the moneyline in 11 of Flexen’s starts this season, and they went 2-9 in those games.
  • Flexen’s team is 2-10 in his 12 starts.
  • Flexen’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 12 games.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 59 67 66 4.03 10 10
Jake Bird 58 81.1 71 4.43 11 0
Brent Suter 50 62.2 48 3.59 6 0
Matt Koch 32 32.2 19 3.58 6 0
Gavin Hollowell 18 22 21 5.73 2 0

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 39-20 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • Chicago has had at least five extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 27-3 in those contests.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 94 games this season, and is 69-25 in those contests.
  • Chicago has a 62-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Cubs have gone 26-20 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 18-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Colorado has won 12 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 37 of the 85 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Colorado has won 37 of its 58 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-7

Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-172)
Over/Under Pick: Over (11.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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