Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 12, 2023

Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres (68-77) into a contest versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (87-56), after his two-homer performance in an 11-8 victory over the Dodgers, beginning at 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Dodgers are favored at home (-160) against the Padres (+134). The game’s total is set at 9.5.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of September 12, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -160 +134 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 75, or 63%, of the 119 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 36-22, a 62.1% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 82 of 142 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 78-64-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 4.90
K/9 7.4

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been underdogs in 35 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (31.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 42.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 61 of its 145 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Padres are 69-76-0 against the spread in their 145 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 19
ERA 4.50
K/9 8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Lance Lynn

  • When Lynn starts, his team is 13-15-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up eight earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
  • In 28 starts this season, Lynn has lasted five or more innings 23 times, with an average of 5.7 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 28 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Lynn’s team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-4.
  • In games Lynn has started, his team is 13-15.
  • In games Lynn has started this season, the teams are 20-8-0 at hitting the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 58 60.2 44 1.34 17 7
Caleb Ferguson 54 53.2 58 2.85 16 3
Evan Phillips 53 54.2 60 2.47 6 22
Ryan Brasier 50 54.1 51 3.31 9 2
Alex Vesia 47 42.1 55 4.89 9 1

Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha

  • The Padres are sending Wacha (11-3) out for his 21st start of the season. He is 11-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 102 strikeouts through 111 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed four innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Wacha has put up 16 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in seven of his 20 appearances this season.
  • The Padres have a 3-2 record in Wacha’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Wacha’s 20 starts, his team is 13-7.
  • Wacha’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 20 games.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 54 55.1 49 3.9 9 0
Scott Barlow 52 58.1 67 4.78 3 13
Josh Hader 52 48.2 78 1.29 0 28
Nick Martínez 52 97.1 90 3.88 15 1
Tom Cosgrove 42 44 38 1.43 4 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 52-19 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
  • Los Angeles is 34-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 94 games this season, and is 69-25 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 72-20 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers are 42-20 in the 62 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Padres Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 62 games this season and are 35-27 in those matchups.
  • In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 25-8.
  • They have won 53 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 55-13.
  • In 57 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-27

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-160)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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