Reds vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 12, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (74-71) and Detroit Tigers (66-77) square off on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Comerica Park.

The Tigers play as a home underdog (+104) against the Reds (-124). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of September 12, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -124 +104 9

Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have been favored 36 times and won 21, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • This season Cincinnati has won 10 of its 19 games, or 52.6%, when favored by at least -124 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 55.4% chance to win.
  • Games involving Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 70 of 145 chances this season.
  • In 145 games with a spread this season, the Reds are 86-59-0 ATS.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 15
ERA 5.20
K/9 8.6

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 115 games this year and have walked away with the win 50 times (43.5%) in those games.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 41 times in 101 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 68 of its 144 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 76-68-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 7
ERA 2.83
K/9 8.4

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson

  • Williamson and his team have a record of 11-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday, Aug. 30.
  • Williamson has made 14 starts of five or more innings in 19 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
  • In 19 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
  • Williamson’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • In games Williamson has started, his team is 10-9.
  • In games Williamson has started this season, the teams are 7-12-0 at hitting the over.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 63 67 62 3.22 20 2
Buck Farmer 62 68.1 62 3.56 10 2
Alexis Diaz 61 60.2 79 2.23 1 35
Sam Moll 59 54.1 64 3.48 7 1
Lucas Sims 57 54.1 68 3.48 21 3

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz (2-11 with a 6.65 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 90 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his 18th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance — in relief on Tuesday — the lefty threw 1 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up one earned run without surrendering a hit.
  • Wentz has put up nine starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Tigers are 6-12 in Wentz’s 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Wentz’s team is 5-12 over his 17 starts.
  • Wentz’s starts went over the run total 11 times in 18 games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 60 60.1 53 2.54 23 7
Alex Lange 58 58 70 3.57 5 23
José Cisnero 55 52 60 5.37 13 2
Tyler Holton 49 73.2 67 2.20 11 1
Will Vest 35 38.2 41 3.26 9 0

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds have racked up at least two home runs in 48 games this season, and are 35-13 in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has collected at least five extra-base hits in 39 games this season, and has gone 30-9 in those contests.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits in 94 games this season, and is 66-28 in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a 68-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Reds have gone 22-21 over the 43 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 26-13 in those matchups.
  • Detroit has gone 22-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 83 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 59-24.
  • Detroit has won 45 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 22-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Reds vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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