The Pittsburgh Pirates (66-77) and Washington Nationals (64-79) square off in the first of a four-game series on Monday at PNC Park, at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates are coming off a series defeat to the Braves, and the Nationals a series loss to the Dodgers.
The Nationals (+122 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Pirates (-146). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of September 11, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -146 | +122 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won 16, or 59.3%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of its 143 games with a total this season.
- The Pirates are 72-71-0 against the spread in their 143 chances this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 56, or 42.4%, of the 132 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 48-61 when favored by +122 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 142 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals are 76-66-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.48 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Andre Jackson
- Jackson’s team is 2-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Jackson’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Jackson’s team is 1-3 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Jackson have a 2-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 57 | 60 | 68 | 1.95 | 0 | 33 |
| Colin Holderman | 52 | 51.1 | 55 | 2.98 | 26 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 41 | 44.1 | 57 | 4.26 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 27 | 32.1 | 29 | 3.06 | 5 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 24 | 27.1 | 25 | 2.30 | 4 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin aims for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Nationals, his 29th of the season. He is 9-13 with a 5.29 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 158 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when the lefty threw four innings, surrendering eight earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Corbin has pitched five or more innings in a game 26 times this season entering this game.
- In two of his 28 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 26 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 12-14 in those matchups.
- Corbin’s team has a 13-15 record over his 28 starts.
- Corbin has started 28 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 15 of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 60 | 63.2 | 59 | 3.11 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 51 | 53 | 60 | 2.89 | 17 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 50 | 54 | 44 | 5.17 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 42 | 47 | 51 | 3.26 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 34 | 38.1 | 33 | 5.40 | 4 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have a 27-9 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Pittsburgh has had at least five extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and has gone 23-6 in those outings.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 69 times this season, and has a 47-22 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 42-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates have drawn at least five walks in 41 games this season, and are 20-21 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 23-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won 17 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 94 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 52-42.
- Washington has won 45 of its 61 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 16 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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