The Houston Astros (82-62) and Oakland Athletics (44-99) square off on Monday at 8:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Minute Maid Park.
The Athletics are a heavy underdog (+233 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Astros (-288). The game’s total is set at 9.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 11, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Athletics Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -288 | +233 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 57, or 54.8%, of the 104 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has entered three games this season favored by -288 or more, and won each of those games.
- The Astros have a 74.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of its 144 games with a total this season.
- The Astros are 73-71-0 against the spread in their 144 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.4 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Athletics Betting Insights
- The Athletics have won in 43, or 30.7%, of the 140 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Oakland has come away with a win one times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +233 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Athletics have a 30% chance of pulling out a win.
- Oakland and its opponents have gone over in 77 of its 143 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Athletics have an against the spread record of 71-72-0 in 143 games with a line this season.
Athletics Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- Valdez and his team have a record of 12-15-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Wednesday.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
- Valdez’s team is 13-12 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Valdez’s team has a 15-12 record in his starts this season.
- Games Valdez has started this season hit the over 15 times in 27 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 63 | 64 | 89 | 1.97 | 23 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 61 | 61.1 | 62 | 3.38 | 12 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 60 | 58.2 | 67 | 1.84 | 27 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 59 | 59 | 65 | 3.20 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 58 | 59.2 | 70 | 4.98 | 10 | 1 |
Athletics Probable Pitcher – Mason Miller
- Miller (0-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Athletics, his fifth of the season.
- In his most recent appearance — in relief on Wednesday — the righty tossed two scoreless innings against the Toronto Blue Jays without surrendering a hit.
- Miller has two starts this campaign that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his five outings this season.
- The Athletics were the moneyline underdog for three Miller starts this season — they lost all of the games.
- Miller’s team has lost all four of his starts this season.
- Miller’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of four games.
Athletics Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor May | 43 | 40.1 | 33 | 3.79 | 1 | 19 |
| Lucas Erceg | 43 | 47 | 57 | 5.55 | 8 | 0 |
| Adrian Martinez | 17 | 43.2 | 38 | 5.77 | 1 | 0 |
| Dany Jimenez | 16 | 15.2 | 9 | 4.02 | 4 | 1 |
| Ken Waldichuk | 10 | 120 | 117 | 5.63 | 0 | 1 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit two or more dingers in 50 games this season, and are 38-12 in those contests.
- Houston is 27-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in 100 games this season, and is 76-24 in those contests.
- Houston has a 71-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have gone 38-8 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Athletics Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 45 games this season and are 28-17 in those matchups.
- Oakland has gone 21-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 63 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-32.
- Oakland has won 34 of its 49 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 36 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-16
Astros vs. Athletics Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-288)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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