The Tampa Bay Rays (88-56) take a three-game winning streak into a road contest versus the Minnesota Twins (75-68) at 7:40 PM ET on Monday.
The Twins (+102 underdog on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Rays (-122). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 11, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -122 | +102 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 118 times and won 77, or 65.3%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is 73-33 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- The Rays have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 77 of its 144 chances.
- The Rays have an ATS record of 80-64-0 in 144 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.23 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won in 19, or 40.4%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Minnesota has a mark of 16-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of its 143 opportunities.
- The Twins have an against the spread record of 70-73-0 in 143 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow
- When Glasnow starts, his team is 12-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Glasnow has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
- Glasnow’s team has won 58.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-7).
- In games Glasnow has started, his team is 10-7.
- Games started by Glasnow have a 7-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 57 | 52.2 | 51 | 2.22 | 19 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 55 | 49.2 | 54 | 3.81 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 53 | 47 | 69 | 3.26 | 14 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 49 | 57.2 | 46 | 3.28 | 10 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 43 | 39.1 | 57 | 2.29 | 2 | 22 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- The Twins are sending Gray (7-6) to make his 29th start of the season. He is 7-6 with a 2.93 ERA and 160 strikeouts in 163 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Gray will try to continue a 15-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 innings per appearance).
- He has had six appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Twins have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
- Gray’s team has won 13 of his 28 starts.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 28 contests.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 63 | 59 | 60 | 3.97 | 23 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 57 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 54 | 52.1 | 54 | 4.64 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 53 | 56.1 | 77 | 2.56 | 1 | 25 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 29 | 25.1 | 27 | 2.13 | 13 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have hit two or more round-trippers in 63 games this season, and are 47-16 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has gone 33-3 in its 36 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 95 times this season, and has a 66-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 66-20 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays are 27-9 in the 36 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 69 games this season and are 53-16 in those matchups.
- Minnesota has won 41 of its 49 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 64 of the 85 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Minnesota has a 69-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 49 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 32-17
Rays vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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