Willson Contreras carries a three-game homer streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (63-80) game against the Baltimore Orioles (90-52) at 6:35 PM ET on Monday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles are favored at home (-177) against the Cardinals (+146). The total for this game is 10.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of September 11, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -177 | +146 | 10 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 48, or 69.6%, of those games.
- Baltimore has entered 24 games this season favored by -177 or more and is 21-3 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 63.9%.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 76 of its 142 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles are 88-54-0 ATS in their 142 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been underdogs in 66 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (43.9%) in those contests.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +146 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 40.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of its 142 opportunities.
- The Cardinals are 65-77-0 against the spread in their 142 games that had a posted line this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.26 |
| K/9 | 5.7 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer and his team are 20-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed four hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
- Kremer has started 28 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 22 times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 28 chances this season.
- When Kremer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-3.
- Kremer’s team has a 21-7 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Kremer’s 28 starts with a total this season, 16 have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 62 | 66.1 | 58 | 2.04 | 29 | 6 |
| Cionel Pérez | 55 | 48.2 | 42 | 3.33 | 9 | 1 |
| Danny Coulombe | 52 | 44.2 | 53 | 2.42 | 22 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 51 | 50.1 | 42 | 6.08 | 9 | 3 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 48 | 73 | 79 | 7.15 | 4 | 2 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Dakota Hudson
- The Cardinals are sending Hudson (6-1) to the mound for his ninth start of the season. He is 6-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw five innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Hudson will try to prolong an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.4 frames per outing).
- In four of his 14 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cardinals have a 4-1 record in Hudson’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Hudson’s team is 6-2 in his eight starts.
- Hudson’s starts went over the run total five times in eight games with a set total this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 53 | 58.1 | 40 | 5.09 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 52 | 54 | 53 | 4.17 | 12 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 52 | 53 | 56 | 4.42 | 17 | 10 |
| John King | 27 | 30.2 | 17 | 4.11 | 7 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 25 | 29 | 39 | 2.79 | 2 | 8 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have hit two or more home runs in 54 games this season, and are 41-13 in those contests.
- Baltimore has put up five or more extra-base hits in 37 games this season, and has gone 34-3 in those outings.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 93 games this season, and is 67-26 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 70-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 34 games this season, and are 27-7 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 65 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 33-7.
- They have a record of 62-35 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has a 56-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 20 of their 45 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-177)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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