The Philadelphia Phillies (78-63) host the Miami Marlins (73-69) at 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Phillies are a home favorite (-170) versus the Marlins (+142). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of September 10, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -170 | +142 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 97 games this season and won 57 (58.8%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 22-13, a 62.9% win rate, when favored by -170 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 63%.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 63 of 141 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 65-76-0 against the spread in their 141 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 5.07 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 33, or 44%, of the 75 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Miami has won eight of 23 games when listed as at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 66 of its 142 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins are 64-78-0 against the spread in their 142 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.82 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez’s team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, Sept. 3, when he tossed four innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- In 18 starts this season, Suarez has lasted five or more innings 15 times, with an average of 5.6 innings per appearance.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 18 chances this season.
- Suarez’s team has a record of 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Suarez’s team has won 10 of his 18 starts.
- Games Suarez has started this season hit the over seven times in 18 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 62 | 60 | 81 | 3.45 | 5 | 22 |
| Gregory Soto | 60 | 53.2 | 53 | 4.86 | 19 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 49 | 41.1 | 40 | 3.92 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 44 | 46 | 62 | 2.35 | 6 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 39 | 80.1 | 100 | 3.36 | 8 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Steven Okert
- Okert gets the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 52 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was out of the bullpen on Friday when the left-hander threw scoreless two-thirds of an inning against the Philadelphia Phillies while allowing only one hit.
- Okert has yet to go five or more innings in any of his five starts (he’s averaging 0 2/3 innings per appearance).
- He is looking to keep a streak of four games without allowing an earned run alive.
- The Marlins are 1-2 in Okert’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Okert’s team has put together a 2-3 record in his five starts.
- Okert has started five games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 59 | 66.2 | 89 | 2.29 | 24 | 6 |
| David Robertson | 53 | 57 | 62 | 3.16 | 7 | 19 |
| Steven Okert | 51 | 52.1 | 65 | 3.44 | 12 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 50 | 48.2 | 63 | 2.77 | 13 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 49 | 46.2 | 63 | 4.44 | 1 | 15 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 40-13 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Philadelphia is 32-9 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits in 93 games this season, and is 61-32 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 57-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 52 games this season, and are 36-16 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 45 games this season and are 23-22 in those matchups.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-3.
- In 105 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 60-45.
- Miami has a 51-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 31 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-12
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-170)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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