The St. Louis Cardinals (63-79) will look to Willson Contreras, currently on a three-game homer streak, versus the Cincinnati Reds (73-71) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds are the home favorite (-147) versus the Cardinals (+122). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of September 10, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -147 | +122 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 20, or 57.1%, of those games.
- Cincinnati has entered 10 games this season favored by -147 or more and is 6-4 in those contests.
- The Reds have a 59.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of 144 games with a total.
- The Reds are 85-59-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.20 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have come away with 29 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- St. Louis has a win-loss record of 11-11 when favored by +122 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 141 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 141 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 65-76-0 against the spread.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 5.7 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene and his team have a record of 7-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, Aug. 30, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up no earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Greene has made 11 starts of five or more innings in 17 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
- He has made 17 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- Greene’s team has a record of 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Greene’s team has won six of his 17 starts.
- In games Greene has started this season, the teams are 9-8-0 at hitting the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 63 | 67 | 62 | 3.22 | 20 | 2 |
| Buck Farmer | 61 | 67.1 | 61 | 3.61 | 10 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 60 | 59.2 | 79 | 2.26 | 1 | 35 |
| Sam Moll | 59 | 54.1 | 64 | 3.48 | 7 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 57 | 54.1 | 68 | 3.48 | 21 | 3 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas
- Mikolas (7-10) takes the mound first for the Cardinals in his 31st start of the season. He has a 4.63 ERA in 171 2/3 innings pitched, with 114 strikeouts.
- His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Mikolas will try to continue a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing).
- He has made five appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Cardinals have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Mikolas’ starts this season, and they went 5-8 in those matchups.
- Mikolas’ team has a 13-17 record in his 30 starts.
- Mikolas’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 16 of 29 contests.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 52 | 57.2 | 39 | 5.15 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 52 | 54 | 53 | 4.17 | 12 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 52 | 53 | 56 | 4.42 | 17 | 10 |
| John King | 27 | 30.2 | 17 | 4.11 | 7 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 25 | 29 | 39 | 2.79 | 2 | 8 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have racked up at least two round-trippers in 47 games this season, and are 34-13 in those contests.
- Cincinnati has collected five or more extra-base hits in 38 games this season, and has gone 29-9 in those outings.
- The club is 65-28 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Cincinnati is 67-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Reds are 22-21 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They are 42-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 33-7.
- In 97 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 62-35.
- St. Louis has won 56 of its 71 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 44 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-24
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-147)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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