Julio Rodriguez rides a two-game homer streak into the Seattle Mariners’ (79-63) game against the Tampa Bay Rays (87-56) at 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, at Tropicana Field.
The Mariners are an underdog (+121 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Rays (-146). The game’s total is set at 8.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 10, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -146 | +121 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 117 times this season and won 76, or 65%, of those games.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 54 of its 77 games, or 70.1%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 76 of its 143 games with a total this season.
- The Rays are 79-64-0 against the spread in their 143 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.90 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (51.2%) in those games.
- Seattle has a win-loss record of 6-8 when favored by +121 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 72 of 142 chances this season.
- The Mariners are 68-74-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 5.14 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 14-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Boston Red Sox.
- Eflin will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
- Eflin’s team has won 73.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-7).
- Eflin’s team has won 19 of his 27 starts.
- Out of Eflin’s 27 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 56 | 51.2 | 50 | 2.26 | 18 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 55 | 49.2 | 54 | 3.81 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 52 | 46 | 67 | 3.33 | 13 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 49 | 57.2 | 46 | 3.28 | 10 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 42 | 38.1 | 54 | 2.35 | 2 | 21 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller
- Miller (8-4) gets the starting nod for the Mariners in his 22nd start of the season. He’s put together a 3.83 ERA in 112 2/3 innings pitched, with 102 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up seven hits.
- Miller will try to build upon a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
- In five of his 21 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Mariners have a 3-5 record in Miller’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Miller’s team is 13-8 in his 21 starts.
- Miller’s starts went over the run total 10 times in 21 games with a set total this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 68 | 61 | 96 | 3.25 | 22 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 63 | 58.1 | 52 | 2.47 | 22 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 60 | 47.2 | 53 | 3.59 | 17 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 45 | 43 | 39 | 3.56 | 3 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 44 | 41.2 | 59 | 3.02 | 13 | 12 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have racked up two or more round-trippers in 63 games this season, and are 47-16 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 35 games this season, and has gone 32-3 in those outings.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 94 times this season, and has a 65-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 65-20 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays are 27-9 in the 36 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won 41 of the 55 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 26-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 62 of the 88 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Seattle has a 66-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 33 of their 48 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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