Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 9, 2023

George Springer leads the Toronto Blue Jays (79-63) into a matchup versus the Kansas City Royals (44-99) after his two-homer outing in a 5-1 victory over the Royals. It starts at 1:37 PM ET on Sunday.

The Royals are an underdog (+147 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Blue Jays (-177). The total in the game is 8 total runs.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of September 10, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -177 +147 8

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 59, or 55.1%, of those games.
  • Toronto has a record of 22-13, a 62.9% win rate, when favored by -177 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 63.9%.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of 142 opportunities.
  • In 142 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-76-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 10
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.1

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have won in 37, or 30.3%, of the 122 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 18 times in 70 chances when named as an underdog of at least +147 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 40.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 70 of its 143 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals are 61-82-0 against the spread in their 143 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 16
ERA 5.01
K/9 7.3

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios

  • When Berrios starts, his team is 12-16-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings against the Oakland Athletics.
  • Berrios has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 28 chances this season.
  • Berrios’ team has a record of 11-12 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Berrios has started, his team is 15-13.
  • In Berrios’ 28 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 63 47.2 44 1.32 22 1
Yimi Garcia 62 57 69 4.11 15 3
Jordan Hicks 56 56.2 71 3.49 9 12
Jordan Romano 51 51 62 2.65 2 33
Génesis Cabrera 51 50.1 52 3.93 9 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Cole Ragans

  • Ragans (6-4 with a 3.12 ERA and 87 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Royals, his 10th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Monday, the left-hander went six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox while surrendering one hit.
  • Ragans is looking for his ninth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 2.9 innings per start.
  • He is trying to keep a streak of three games without giving up an earned run intact.
  • The Royals are 2-3 in Ragans’ five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Ragans’ team has put together a 4-5 record in his nine starts.
  • Ragans’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of nine games.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 52 63.2 74 4.81 12 3
Taylor Clarke 47 51.2 56 5.40 11 0
Tucker Davidson 30 46 44 6.46 0 2
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Cole Ragans 16 72 87 3.12 3 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit at least two long balls in 45 games this season, and are 31-14 in those outings.
  • Toronto is 23-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits 106 times this season, and has a 71-35 record in those games.
  • Toronto has a 58-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 40 games this season, and are 28-12 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 19-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won 17 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 33 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-17.
  • In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-13

Blue Jays vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-177)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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