The New York Yankees (70-72) will try to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (79-62) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Yankees are favored at home (-140) against the Brewers (+117). The game’s total is 7.5.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 10, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -140 | +117 | 7.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won 46, or 52.9%, of the 87 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 34-20 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 65 of 142 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 69-73-0 ATS in their 142 games with a spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.20 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 38, or 55.1%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 17 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 65 of its 141 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 70-71-0 against the spread in their 141 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- Cole’s team is 16-13-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed eight hits in six innings against the Detroit Tigers.
- Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has made 29 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Cole’s team has won 69.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (18-8).
- Cole’s team has a 19-10 record in his starts this season.
- Games Cole has started this season hit the over 11 times in 29 chances.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 58 | 51 | 49 | 3.00 | 17 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 56 | 55 | 63 | 2.78 | 5 | 18 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 43 | 47.1 | 56 | 3.99 | 7 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 83 | 100 | 2.82 | 8 | 6 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 38 | 36 | 43 | 2.75 | 13 | 1 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes will look for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Brewers, his 29th of the season. He is 9-8 with a 3.63 ERA and 174 strikeouts over 171 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Monday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the righty went six innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Burnes will look to last five or more innings for his 27th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
- He has had six appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Brewers have a 2-4 record in Burnes’ six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Burnes’ team is 15-13 in his 28 starts.
- Burnes’ starts went over the run total 14 times in 28 games with a set total this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 64 | 57.1 | 54 | 2.20 | 15 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 59 | 63 | 70 | 2.43 | 24 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 56 | 59 | 50 | 3.51 | 19 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 53 | 51.2 | 76 | 1.74 | 0 | 32 |
| Andrew Chafin | 51 | 43.2 | 57 | 5.15 | 12 | 8 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have put up at least two dingers in 75 games this season, and are 56-19 in those contests.
- New York is 18-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 83 times this season, and has a 55-28 record in those games.
- New York is 52-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 45 games this season, and are 25-20 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 41-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in 17 games this season and won each of them.
- They have won 55 of the 74 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 76 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 66-10.
- In 47 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 35-12
Yankees vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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