The New York Mets (64-77) will attempt to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Minnesota Twins (75-67) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mets (+153 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Twins (-185). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 10, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -185 | +153 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 56, or 59.6%, of the 94 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has entered 20 games this season favored by -185 or more and is 13-7 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 69 of 142 chances this season.
- The Twins are 70-72-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (29.3%) in those games.
- New York has a win-loss record of 1-9 when favored by +153 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 39.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 58 of its 142 opportunities.
- The Mets are 61-81-0 against the spread in their 142 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez’s team is 13-15-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on eight hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 20th start in a row.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 28 chances this season.
- When Lopez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 16-6.
- Lopez’s team has won 17 of his 28 starts this season.
- In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 14-12-2 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 62 | 58 | 58 | 3.72 | 23 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 57 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 54 | 52.1 | 54 | 4.64 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 53 | 56.1 | 77 | 2.56 | 1 | 25 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 29 | 25.1 | 27 | 2.13 | 13 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill gets the start for the Mets, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-7 with a 5.28 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 102 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Megill is trying for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 5-9 in those games.
- Megill’s team has a 9-12 record in his starts this season.
- Megill has started 21 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 59 | 55 | 52 | 3.11 | 12 | 8 |
| Brooks Raley | 57 | 47 | 50 | 3.06 | 23 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 54 | 49.1 | 57 | 4.56 | 11 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 54 | 50.1 | 56 | 4.47 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 52 | 59 | 68 | 5.64 | 4 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 53-16 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Minnesota is 41-8 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 64-21 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Minnesota has a 69-13 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 48 games this season, and are 32-16 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 30-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won 18 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 51 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has a 48-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 17 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Twins vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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