The Milwaukee Brewers (78-62) will look to Willy Adames, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the New York Yankees (70-71) at 2:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Yankee Stadium.
The favored Yankees (-144 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Brewers (+121). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of September 9, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -144 | +121 | 9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have been favored 86 times and won 46, or 53.5%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 31-18 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 141 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 69-72-0 against the spread in their 141 chances this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 37, or 54.4%, of the 68 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 12-20 when favored by +121 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of its 140 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Brewers have an against the spread record of 69-71-0 in 140 games with a line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.35 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Michael King
- King and his team have a record of 2-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Houston Astros, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
- King has one start of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 1.8 innings per outing.
- He has finished 30 appearances without allowing an earned run in 44 chances this season.
- King’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- King’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Games King has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 57 | 50 | 48 | 3.06 | 17 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 56 | 55 | 63 | 2.78 | 5 | 18 |
| Michael King | 39 | 78 | 91 | 2.88 | 8 | 6 |
| Tommy Kahnle | 38 | 36 | 43 | 2.75 | 13 | 1 |
| Nick Ramirez | 26 | 33.2 | 25 | 2.67 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley gets the start for the Brewers, his 20th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 100 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the lefty tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Miley is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per start.
- In five of his 19 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Brewers are 8-4 in Miley’s 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Miley’s 19 starts, his team is 11-8.
- Miley’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in eight of 19 games.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 63 | 56.1 | 52 | 2.24 | 15 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 58 | 62 | 69 | 2.47 | 24 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 55 | 57.2 | 48 | 3.59 | 19 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 53 | 51.2 | 76 | 1.74 | 0 | 32 |
| Andrew Chafin | 51 | 43.2 | 57 | 5.15 | 12 | 8 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have a 56-19 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has put up at least five extra-base hits in 22 games this season, and has gone 18-4 in those outings.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 83 times this season, and has a 55-28 record in those games.
- New York is 52-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have gone 25-20 in the 45 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 41-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 73 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-19.
- Milwaukee has won 65 of its 75 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 34-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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