The Atlanta Braves (92-48) are looking for continued production from a slugger on a hot streak against the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-76) on Saturday at 7:20 PM ET, at Truist Park. Austin Riley is currently on a two-game homer streak.
The Pirates are an underdog away (+183) at the Braves (-223). The matchup has an over/under set at 10.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of September 9, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -223 | +183 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 84, or 66.7%, of the 126 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 26-11 this season when entering a game favored by -223 or more on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 69% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 76 of its 140 chances.
- The Braves are 75-65-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 26 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 48, or 42.5%, of the 113 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +183 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 35.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 76 of its 141 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 71-70-0 against the spread in their 141 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Braves or Pirates, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Braves Probable Pitcher – Dylan Dodd
- Dodd and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, June 14 against the Detroit Tigers, throwing four innings and giving up five earned runs.
- Dodd has made three starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 4.8 frames when he pitches.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Dodd’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Dodd’s team has won four of his five starts this season.
- In games Dodd has started this season, the teams are 4-1-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 60 | 56 | 81 | 4.82 | 10 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 60 | 56 | 67 | 4.02 | 16 | 10 |
| Kirby Yates | 52 | 53.2 | 70 | 2.68 | 8 | 3 |
| Brad Hand | 51 | 46.2 | 50 | 4.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 50 | 49.2 | 64 | 2.90 | 11 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- The Pirates are sending Oviedo (8-14) out for his 29th start of the season. He is 8-14 with a 4.27 ERA and 136 strikeouts through 158 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the righty went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Oviedo enters this game with 21 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Pirates have a 6-15 record in Oviedo’s 21 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Oviedo’s team has compiled an 11-17 record over his 28 starts.
- Oviedo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 28 games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 56 | 59 | 66 | 1.98 | 0 | 33 |
| Colin Holderman | 51 | 50 | 54 | 3.06 | 25 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 41 | 44.1 | 57 | 4.26 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 25 | 30.1 | 28 | 3.26 | 4 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 23 | 26.2 | 24 | 2.02 | 4 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 59-20 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Atlanta has gone 34-4 in its 38 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 98 games this season, and is 70-28 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 73-18 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 27-12 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 35 games this season and are 26-9 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has won 22 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 46-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 41 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 41 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-223)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
