Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 9, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (62-79) will look for continued production from a batter on a roll versus the Cincinnati Reds (73-70) on Saturday at 6:40 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. Willson Contreras is on a two-game homer streak.

The Cardinals are a favorite (-125) against the Reds (+105). The over/under in the game is 10.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 9, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -125 +105 10.5

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cardinals have been favored 73 times and won 33, or 45.2%, of those games.
  • This season St. Louis has won 27 of its 58 games, or 46.6%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • Games involving St. Louis has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 69 of 140 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals are 65-75-0 ATS in their 140 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 19
ERA 4.95
K/9 4.6

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in 53, or 49.1%, of the 108 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 41 times in 87 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 70 of 143 chances this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread record of 84-59-0 in 143 games with a line this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 12
ERA 5.26
K/9 8.6

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Zack Thompson

  • Thompson’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in seven innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Thompson has three starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 2.2 innings per outing.
  • He has 11 appearances with no earned runs allowed in 21 chances this season.
  • Thompson’s team is 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Thompson’s team has won three of his five starts.
  • Games Thompson has started this season hit the over three times in five chances.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 52 57.2 39 5.15 14 0
Drew VerHagen 52 54 53 4.17 12 0
Giovanny Gallegos 51 52 54 4.50 16 10
John King 26 29.2 15 4.25 6 0
Ryan Helsley 24 28 38 2.89 2 7

Reds Probable Pitcher – Carson Spiers

  • Spiers (0-0) gets the start for the Reds, his second of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed four innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for one Spiers start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Spiers’ lone start with a total this season went over.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 62 65 61 3.32 20 2
Buck Farmer 61 67.1 61 3.61 10 2
Alexis Diaz 60 59.2 79 2.26 1 35
Sam Moll 58 53.2 64 3.52 7 1
Lucas Sims 56 53 68 3.57 21 3

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have put up at least two homers in 65 games this season, and are 42-23 in those outings.
  • St. Louis is 33-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 61-35 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • St. Louis is 56-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 19-24 over the 43 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 34-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cincinnati has won 29 of its 38 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 93 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 65-28.
  • In 81 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 67-14.
  • They have won 22 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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