The Baltimore Orioles (89-51) aim to prolong their six-game winning streak when they play the Boston Red Sox (72-69) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are a home favorite (-145) against the Orioles (+122). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of September 9, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -145 | +122 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 36 (53.7%) of those contests.
- Boston has entered 28 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 13-15 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of 141 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 69-72-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 7.08 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been underdogs in 72 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (56.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Baltimore has won 14 of 25 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 74 of its 140 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Orioles are 87-53-0 against the spread in their 140 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale
- Sale and his team have a record of 10-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander allowed two hits in five scoreless innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday.
- In 16 starts, Sale has pitched through or past the fifth inning 10 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
- Sale’s team has won 63.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-4).
- Sale’s team is 11-5 when he starts this season.
- Games Sale has started this season hit the over 10 times in 16 chances.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 50 | 46.1 | 41 | 1.17 | 22 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 50 | 74 | 67 | 2.92 | 17 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 48 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.43 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 39 | 44.2 | 52 | 2.62 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 35 | 37 | 41 | 3.65 | 10 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty
- Flaherty (8-8) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his 26th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.84 ERA in 134 2/3 innings pitched, with 135 strikeouts.
- His last time out was on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Flaherty has 19 starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- In five of his 25 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Orioles are 9-4 in Flaherty’s 13 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Flaherty’s team is 15-10 in his 25 starts.
- Flaherty’s starts hit the over on the run total 15 times in 25 games with a set total this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 61 | 65.1 | 58 | 1.65 | 29 | 6 |
| Cionel Pérez | 54 | 47.2 | 41 | 3.40 | 9 | 1 |
| Danny Coulombe | 51 | 44 | 53 | 2.45 | 22 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 50 | 49.2 | 40 | 6.16 | 8 | 3 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 47 | 71.1 | 78 | 7.32 | 4 | 2 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have put up two or more dingers in 46 games this season, and are 32-14 in those outings.
- Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 41 games this season, and has gone 30-11 in those outings.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 98 times this season, and has a 59-39 record in those games.
- Boston has a 60-13 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn at least five walks in 28 games this season, and are 17-11 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 53 games this season and are 40-13 in those matchups.
- In 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 33-3.
- They have a record of 66-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Baltimore has a 69-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 27-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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