The Seattle Mariners (78-61) and Tampa Bay Rays (85-55) square off in the first of a four-game series on Thursday at Tropicana Field, at 6:40 PM ET. The Mariners are coming off a series defeat to the Reds, and the Rays a series win over the Red Sox.
The Mariners are a favorite (-125) at the Rays (+105). The total for this game is 8.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of September 7, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -125 | +105 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored 97 times and won 56, or 57.7%, of those games.
- Seattle has entered 77 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 45-32 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 55.6% chance to win.
- So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of 139 games with a total.
- The Mariners are 68-71-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been victorious in 10, or 41.7%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 74 of its 140 opportunities.
- The Rays have posted a record of 76-64-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.61 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- When Castillo starts, his team is 10-18-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Castillo will look to finish five or more innings for the 29th start in a row.
- He has made 28 appearances and finished eight of them without allowing an earned run.
- Castillo’s team has a record of 15-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Castillo has started, his team is 16-12.
- Games started by Castillo have a 16-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 67 | 60 | 95 | 3.30 | 21 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 62 | 57.1 | 50 | 2.51 | 22 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 59 | 47 | 53 | 3.64 | 17 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 44 | 42.1 | 39 | 3.19 | 3 | 1 |
| Dominic Leone | 43 | 45.2 | 45 | 5.12 | 3 | 1 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell
- The Rays will send Littell (3-4) out for his 11th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 4.69 ERA and 52 strikeouts over 63 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- Littell enters the matchup with six outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- In seven of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Rays have a 2-2 record in Littell’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Littell’s team has put together a 5-5 record in his 10 starts.
- Littell has had 10 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those matchups.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 55 | 50.2 | 49 | 2.31 | 18 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 54 | 48.2 | 52 | 3.88 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 51 | 45.2 | 66 | 3.35 | 13 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 48 | 56 | 46 | 3.38 | 10 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 41 | 37.1 | 51 | 2.41 | 2 | 20 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have racked up two or more dingers in 54 games this season, and are 41-13 in those contests.
- Seattle has had at least five extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 26-2 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 88 times this season, and has a 62-26 record in those games.
- Seattle is 66-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 48 games this season, and are 33-15 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 62 games this season and are 46-16 in those matchups.
- In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-3.
- They have won 64 of the 93 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Tampa Bay has won 63 of its 83 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 26-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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