Matt Olson rides a three-game homer streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (90-48) game against the St. Louis Cardinals (61-78) whose Tyler O’Neill has homered in two straight. It starts at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday, at Truist Park.
The Braves are heavily favored (-352 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Cardinals (+278). The game’s over/under is 10.5.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of September 7, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -352 | +278 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 82 out of the 124 games, or 66.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has played as favorites of -352 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 77.9% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of its 138 games with a total this season.
- In 138 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 73-65-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been underdogs in 63 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (44.4%) in those contests.
- St. Louis has played as an underdog of +278 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 26.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 67 of its 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cardinals are 64-74-0 against the spread in their 138 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 5.30 |
| K/9 | 4.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried and his team are 6-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Fried will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 11 chances this season.
- Fried’s team has a record of 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Fried’s team has a 7-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games Fried has started this season hit the over five times in 10 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 59 | 55 | 79 | 4.91 | 9 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 59 | 55 | 65 | 4.09 | 16 | 10 |
| Kirby Yates | 52 | 53.2 | 70 | 2.68 | 8 | 3 |
| Brad Hand | 51 | 46.2 | 50 | 4.63 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 50 | 49.2 | 64 | 2.90 | 11 | 0 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright gets the start for the Cardinals, his 19th of the season. He is 3-10 with an 8.10 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 83 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance came on Monday, Aug. 28 against the San Diego Padres, when the right-hander threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing eight hits.
- Wainwright heads into the matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has not had an outing so far in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Cardinals have a 4-7 record in Wainwright’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Wainwright’s 18 starts, his team is 5-13.
- Wainwright has started 18 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 51 | 57 | 39 | 5.21 | 13 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 51 | 53.1 | 53 | 4.22 | 12 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 50 | 51 | 52 | 4.59 | 16 | 10 |
| John King | 26 | 29.2 | 15 | 4.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 23 | 27 | 36 | 3.00 | 2 | 7 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 57-20 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
- Atlanta is 33-4 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 68-28 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Atlanta is 71-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 39 games this season, and are 27-12 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 65 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 33-7.
- They have won 60 of the 94 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has won 55 of its 69 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 19 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-352)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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