Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (84-53) into a matchup with Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins (71-67) at LoanDepot park, on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. Freeman is at .335, the third-best average in the league, while Arraez ranks first at .355.
The Marlins (+124 underdog moneyline odds to win) hit the field versus the Dodgers (-148). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 6, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -148 | +124 | 8.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- This season, the Dodgers have won 72 out of the 113 games, or 63.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Los Angeles has a record of 46-25, a 64.8% win rate, when favored by -148 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 77 of its 136 chances.
- The Dodgers have an ATS record of 75-61-0 in 136 games with a spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (43.7%) in those games.
- This season, Miami has been victorious 11 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of its 138 opportunities.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 62-76-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Lance Lynn
- Lynn’s team is 13-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- In 27 starts, Lynn has pitched through or past the fifth inning 23 times. He has a season average of 5.7 frames per outing.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
- Lynn’s team is 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Lynn has started, his team is 13-14.
- Out of Lynn’s 27 starts with a total this season, 19 have hit the over.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusdar Graterol | 56 | 58.2 | 43 | 1.38 | 17 | 7 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 51 | 51 | 55 | 3.00 | 16 | 3 |
| Evan Phillips | 50 | 51.2 | 56 | 2.26 | 6 | 21 |
| Ryan Brasier | 47 | 51.1 | 46 | 3.51 | 8 | 2 |
| Alex Vesia | 45 | 40 | 53 | 5.18 | 9 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – JT Chargois
- Chargois (1-0) starts for the Marlins, his second this season.
- His most recent time out was out of the bullpen on Saturday when the righty tossed one inning against the Washington Nationals, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- The Marlins have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Chargois starts this season.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Chargois’ only start with a total this season went under.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 58 | 65.2 | 88 | 2.33 | 24 | 5 |
| David Robertson | 52 | 56 | 61 | 3.21 | 7 | 19 |
| Steven Okert | 49 | 49.2 | 62 | 3.62 | 11 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 49 | 47.1 | 63 | 2.85 | 12 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 48 | 45.2 | 63 | 4.34 | 1 | 15 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers have hit two or more long balls in 68 games this season, and are 51-17 in those contests.
- Los Angeles has collected five or more extra-base hits in 41 games this season, and has gone 32-9 in those outings.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 89 times this season, and has a 66-23 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 69-18 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Dodgers are 40-18 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 21 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-2.
- They have a record of 59-44 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Miami has won 50 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 31 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-12
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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