The Philadelphia Phillies (76-62) and San Diego Padres (66-74) square off on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET at PETCO Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Phillies are a tight favorite (-117 moneyline odds) when they play the Padres (-103). The total for this game is 7.5.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of September 6, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -117 | -103 | 7.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 94 games this season and won 55 (58.5%) of those contests.
- This season Philadelphia has won 50 of its 84 games, or 59.5%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 138 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 63-75-0 in 138 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (30%) in those games.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious eight times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of its 140 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Padres are 67-73-0 against the spread in their 140 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 10-17-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings against the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in 15 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
- Wheeler’s team is 14-11 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Wheeler’s team is 16-11 when he starts this season.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 12-13-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 61 | 59 | 79 | 3.51 | 5 | 22 |
| Gregory Soto | 58 | 51.2 | 51 | 5.05 | 19 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 47 | 39.2 | 39 | 3.63 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 42 | 43.1 | 58 | 2.49 | 6 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 37 | 78 | 97 | 3.23 | 8 | 1 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha makes the start for the Padres, his 20th of the season. He is 11-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 96 strikeouts over 107 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the righty threw six innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Wacha will try to go five or more innings for his ninth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing.
- In seven of his 19 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Padres are 3-1 in Wacha’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wacha’s team has compiled a 13-6 record in his 19 starts.
- Wacha has started 19 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | 51 | 47.2 | 77 | 1.13 | 0 | 28 |
| Luís Garcia | 51 | 52.1 | 47 | 4.13 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 50 | 56.1 | 65 | 4.95 | 3 | 13 |
| Nick Martínez | 50 | 94.1 | 86 | 3.91 | 15 | 1 |
| Tim Hill | 45 | 43.2 | 26 | 4.12 | 9 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 39-13 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Philadelphia has collected five or more extra-base hits in 41 games this season, and has gone 32-9 in those contests.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 92 games this season, and is 60-32 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 55-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies are 34-15 over the 49 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They are 33-26 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- San Diego has won 24 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 51-25.
- In 65 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-12.
- In 55 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-25
Phillies vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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