The New York Mets (64-74) have a 1-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Washington Nationals (62-77) on Wednesday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals are an underdog (+106 on the moneyline) when they host the Mets (-127). The matchup has an over/under of 11 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 6, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -127 | +106 | 11 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 82 times and won 47, or 57.3%, of those games.
- New York has entered 62 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 30-32 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of 139 games with a total.
- The Mets are 61-78-0 ATS in their 139 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 54 wins in the 128 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 51 of 118 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of its 138 opportunities.
- In 138 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 74-64-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.97 |
| K/9 | 6.0 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Butto
- Butto has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Tuesday, Aug. 15 when he threw 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up three earned runs while allowing two hits.
- Butto’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Butto’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Butto this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 59 | 55 | 52 | 3.11 | 12 | 8 |
| Brooks Raley | 56 | 46 | 48 | 3.13 | 23 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 53 | 48.2 | 56 | 3.88 | 11 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 53 | 49.2 | 56 | 4.53 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 51 | 58.2 | 68 | 5.52 | 4 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Joan Adon
- Adon (2-1 with a 5.90 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his sixth of the season.
- His last appearance came on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Adon is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.1 innings per start.
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals are 3-1 in Adon’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Adon’s five starts, his team is 4-1.
- Adon’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of five games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 58 | 61.2 | 58 | 3.06 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 49 | 50.2 | 57 | 2.66 | 16 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 47 | 52.1 | 42 | 5.16 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 40 | 45.2 | 51 | 2.76 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 32 | 36.2 | 32 | 5.65 | 4 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a 30-20 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York is 18-6 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 75 times this season, and has a 51-24 record in those games.
- New York has a 48-19 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 31 games this season, and are 17-14 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 23-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
- In 91 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 50-41.
- Washington has a 44-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-11
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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