Rene Pinto carries a two-game homer streak into the Tampa Bay Rays’ (84-55) game versus the Boston Red Sox (72-67) at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday, at Tropicana Field.
The Red Sox are an underdog (+142 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Rays (-171). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of September 6, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -171 | +142 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 74 out of the 115 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 38-17 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -171 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of 139 games with a total.
- The Rays are 75-64-0 ATS in their 139 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 34, or 48.6%, of the 70 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Boston has won six of 10 games when listed as at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 139 chances this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 69-70-0 in 139 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.80 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow
- When Glasnow starts, his team is 11-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in seven innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Glasnow has 11 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Glasnow’s team has a record of 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Glasnow’s team has won nine of his 16 starts.
- Games Glasnow has started this season hit the over seven times in 16 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 54 | 49.2 | 49 | 2.36 | 17 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 54 | 48.2 | 52 | 3.88 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 50 | 44.2 | 65 | 3.43 | 12 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 48 | 56 | 46 | 3.38 | 10 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 40 | 36.1 | 49 | 2.48 | 2 | 19 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta (9-7 with a 4.49 ERA and 145 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched) goes for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Red Sox, his 12th of the season.
- In his last appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday — the righty tossed three innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Pivetta enters this matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has made 13 appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Red Sox have a 4-4 record in Pivetta’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Pivetta’s team has won six of his 11 starts.
- Pivetta has had 11 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 50 | 46.1 | 41 | 1.17 | 22 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 50 | 74 | 67 | 2.92 | 17 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 48 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.43 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 37 | 44.1 | 52 | 2.44 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 34 | 35.2 | 41 | 3.53 | 10 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 45-16 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
- Tampa Bay has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 33 games this season, and has gone 30-3 in those contests.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 92 games this season, and is 63-29 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 63-20 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in 33 games this season, and are 25-8 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 32-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 30-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 59 of the 98 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has won 60 of its 73 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-171)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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