Royals vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (44-96) have a 2-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Chicago White Sox (53-86) on Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium, at 7:40 PM ET.

An expected tight contest features the Royals (-118 moneyline odds to win) against the White Sox (-102). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 6, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Royals vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Royals -118 -102 9.5

Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Royals have won seven out of the 20 games, or 35%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Kansas City is 5-7 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Games involving Kansas City has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 70 of 140 chances this season.
  • The Royals are 60-80-0 ATS in their 140 games with a spread this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 14
ERA 5.73
K/9 7.9

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been underdogs in 96 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (32.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 29 times in 89 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 139 opportunities.
  • The White Sox are 68-71-0 against the spread in their 139 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 5.97
K/9 8.6

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles’ team is 9-17-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed eight innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
  • Lyles has 23 starts of five or more innings this season in 26 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
  • He has made 26 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Lyles’ team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Lyles’ team has won four of his 26 starts this season.
  • In Lyles’ 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 51 63.1 74 4.41 12 3
Taylor Clarke 46 50.2 54 5.33 11 0
Tucker Davidson 28 43 42 6.49 0 2
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Austin Cox 20 35.1 32 4.58 5 1

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Touki Toussaint

  • The White Sox will send Toussaint (2-7) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 2-7 with a 4.87 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 64 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Toussaint will try to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.3 frames per outing.
  • He has made four appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The White Sox are 2-7 in Toussaint’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Toussaint’s 11 starts, his team is 4-7.
  • Toussaint has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Gregory Santos 53 62.1 63 3.32 5 4
Aaron Bummer 52 52 67 6.58 12 0
José Ruiz 35 44.1 39 5.89 1 0
Bryan Shaw 23 30.1 25 5.64 2 1
Tanner Banks 21 50.2 42 4.97 1 0

Royals Hitting Trends

  • The Royals are 19-17 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
  • Kansas City has gone 17-17 in its 34 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched at least eight hits 78 times this season, and has a 33-45 record in those games.
  • Kansas City is 30-17 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Royals have drawn five or more walks in 16 games this season, and are 5-11 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They have won 22 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Chicago has gone 17-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 43-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-15.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9

Royals vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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