The Philadelphia Phillies (76-61) will look for Trea Turner to continue a 15-game hitting streak versus the San Diego Padres (65-74) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at PETCO Park.
As the favorite, the Phillies (-122 on the moneyline to win) visit the Padres (+100). The total for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of September 5, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -122 | +100 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 55 out of the 94 games, or 58.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia is 47-27 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 137 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 63-74-0 in 137 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.1 |
| HR | 26 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (30%) in those contests.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of its 139 opportunities.
- The Padres are 66-73-0 against the spread in their 139 games that had a posted line this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- When Lorenzen starts, his team is 14-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, Aug. 29, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Lorenzen will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 23 chances this season.
- Lorenzen’s team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-4.
- Lorenzen’s team has won 11 of his 23 starts.
- Games started by Lorenzen have a 12-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 61 | 59 | 79 | 3.51 | 5 | 22 |
| Gregory Soto | 58 | 51.2 | 51 | 5.05 | 19 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 47 | 39.2 | 39 | 3.63 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 42 | 43.1 | 58 | 2.49 | 6 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 37 | 78 | 97 | 3.23 | 8 | 1 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Pedro Avila
- The Padres will send Avila (0-2) to the mound to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 30 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Friday against the San Francisco Giants, when he threw three innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
- He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for one Avila start this season — they lost.
- Avila’s team has a 1-2 record over his three starts.
- Avila has three starts with a total this season — his team has gone over the total in each.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | 51 | 47.2 | 77 | 1.13 | 0 | 28 |
| Luís Garcia | 51 | 52.1 | 47 | 4.13 | 9 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 50 | 94.1 | 86 | 3.91 | 15 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 50 | 56.1 | 65 | 4.95 | 3 | 13 |
| Tim Hill | 45 | 43.2 | 26 | 4.12 | 9 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 39-13 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
- Philadelphia is 32-9 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 60-32 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 55-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 48 games this season, and are 34-14 in those contests.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 59 games this season and are 33-26 in those matchups.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-8.
- They have a record of 50-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 52-12.
- They have a 30-25 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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