Masataka Yoshida rides a two-game homer streak into the Boston Red Sox’s (72-66) game against the Tampa Bay Rays (83-55) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Tropicana Field.
The Rays are favored (-163 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Red Sox (+136). The contest has an over/under of 8.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of September 5, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -163 | +136 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won 73, or 64%, of the 114 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 42-17, a 71.2% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of 138 games with a total.
- The Rays are 74-64-0 against the spread in their 138 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.16 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 69 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (49.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious nine times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 138 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 69-69-0 against the spread in their 138 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 6.88 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin and his team are 13-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 6 1/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while allowing four hits.
- Eflin has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 26 chances this season.
- Eflin’s team is 18-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Eflin’s team is 18-8 when he starts this season.
- In Eflin’s 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Diekman | 53 | 47.2 | 51 | 3.97 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 53 | 49 | 47 | 2.39 | 16 | 1 |
| Robert Stephenson | 50 | 44.2 | 65 | 3.43 | 12 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 47 | 55.2 | 46 | 3.4 | 9 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 39 | 35.1 | 46 | 2.55 | 2 | 19 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- Crawford (6-7) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.08 ERA in 103 2/3 innings pitched, with 102 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander tossed 2 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros, giving up six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Crawford is looking to pick up his 11th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in seven of his 26 outings this season.
- The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Crawford’s starts this season, and they went 6-6 in those games.
- Crawford’s team is 8-10 over his 18 starts.
- Crawford has had 18 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 49 | 45.1 | 40 | 1.19 | 22 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 49 | 73 | 66 | 2.96 | 17 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 47 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.02 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 36 | 43.1 | 50 | 2.49 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 33 | 33.2 | 39 | 3.74 | 10 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 44-16 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Tampa Bay has had five or more extra-base hits in 33 games this season, and has gone 30-3 in those outings.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 92 times this season, and has a 63-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 62-20 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays are 24-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 46 games this season and are 32-14 in those matchups.
- In 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-11.
- They have won 59 of the 97 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has a 60-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-163)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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