Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (84-52) into a matchup against Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins (70-67) at LoanDepot park, on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Freeman is at .335, the third-best average in the league, while Arraez ranks first at .356.
The Marlins are an underdog at home (+120) versus the Dodgers (-145). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of September 5, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -145 | +120 | 7.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have been favorites in 112 games this season and won 72 (64.3%) of those contests.
- Los Angeles has a record of 49-25 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -145 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
- Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 76 of 135 chances this season.
- The Dodgers are 75-60-0 against the spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (42.9%) in those games.
- Miami has a mark of 15-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 62 of its 137 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 137 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 61-76-0 against the spread.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw
- Kershaw’s team is 12-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
- Kershaw has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 5.6 innings per outing.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 20 chances this season.
- When Kershaw starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-5.
- Kershaw’s team has won 15 of his 20 starts this season.
- Out of Kershaw’s 20 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusdar Graterol | 56 | 58.2 | 43 | 1.38 | 17 | 7 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 51 | 51 | 55 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
| Evan Phillips | 50 | 51.2 | 56 | 2.26 | 6 | 21 |
| Ryan Brasier | 47 | 51.1 | 46 | 3.51 | 8 | 2 |
| Alex Vesia | 45 | 40 | 53 | 5.18 | 9 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo will look for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Marlins, his 28th of the season. He is 9-8 with a 3.80 ERA and 175 strikeouts over 149 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
- Luzardo is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- He will attempt for his third straight outing without giving up an earned run.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in 15 of Luzardo’s starts this season, and they went 8-7 in those matchups.
- Luzardo’s team has a 16-11 record in his starts this season.
- Luzardo’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 13 of 27 games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 57 | 64.2 | 86 | 2.37 | 24 | 4 |
| David Robertson | 52 | 56 | 61 | 3.21 | 7 | 19 |
| Steven Okert | 49 | 49.2 | 62 | 3.62 | 11 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 48 | 46.1 | 62 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| A.J. Puk | 47 | 44.2 | 62 | 4.23 | 1 | 15 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers have a 51-17 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Los Angeles has had five or more extra-base hits in 41 games this season, and has gone 32-9 in those contests.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 89 times this season, and has a 66-23 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 69-18 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Dodgers are 40-18 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 20 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 23-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 102 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 58-44.
- Miami has won 49 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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