Mariners vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 4, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (77-59) will look to Teoscar Hernandez, riding a 12-game hitting streak, versus the Cincinnati Reds (71-68) at 4:10 PM ET on Monday, at Great American Ball Park.

The Mariners are favored (-152 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Reds (+127). The game’s over/under is set at 10.5.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of September 4, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -152 +127 10.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 55, or 58.5%, of the 94 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle is 27-20 this season when entering a game favored by -152 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 68 of its 136 chances.
  • The Mariners are 67-69-0 against the spread in their 136 chances this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 19
ERA 3.48
K/9 9.3

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 105 games this season and have come away with the win 51 times (48.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 26 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 67 of its 139 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread record of 82-57-0 in 139 games with a line this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 9
ERA 4.91
K/9 9.1

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryan Woo

  • When Woo starts, his team is 7-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • Woo has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 5 innings per outing.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
  • Woo’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-4).
  • In games Woo has started, his team is 7-6.
  • In Woo’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 65 58.1 93 3.39 19 4
Justin Topa 60 55.1 50 2.11 22 2
Gabe Speier 57 45.2 52 3.74 16 1
Tayler Saucedo 43 41.2 39 3.24 3 1
Dominic Leone 42 45 45 4.8 3 1

Reds Probable Pitcher – Tejay Antone

  • Antone gets the call to start for the Reds, his first this season.
  • The 29-year-old righty came out of the bullpen in his last outing this season, his only action so far.
  • Antone never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 61 64.2 60 3.34 20 1
Alexis Diaz 59 58.2 79 2.3 1 35
Buck Farmer 59 64.1 58 3.64 10 2
Sam Moll 56 51.2 60 3.66 7 1
Lucas Sims 55 52.2 67 3.59 21 3

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners are 40-11 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Seattle is 25-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits in 85 games this season, and is 61-24 in those contests.
  • Seattle is 65-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Mariners are 32-14 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They have won 33 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Cincinnati has won 28 of its 37 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 89 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 63-26.
  • Cincinnati has a 65-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 21 of their 41 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mariners vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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