Adolis Garcia rides a two-game homer streak into the Texas Rangers’ (76-60) game versus the Houston Astros (77-61) at 4:05 PM ET on Monday, at Globe Life Field.
A projected tight matchup features the Rangers (-112 on the moneyline) against the Astros (-108). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 4, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -112 | -108 | 9.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have been favored 93 times and won 55, or 59.1%, of those games.
- Texas has a record of 53-37, a 58.9% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rangers have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of 136 opportunities.
- The Rangers are 73-63-0 ATS in their 136 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.18 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been victorious in 23, or 62.2%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Houston has won 20 of 34 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Houston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 71 of 138 chances this season.
- In 138 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 68-70-0 against the spread.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.16 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- Heaney’s team is 14-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Heaney has 18 starts of five or more innings this season in 26 chances. He averages 4.9 innings per outing.
- He has eight appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 26 chances this season.
- Heaney’s team is 11-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Heaney’s team has won 15 of his 26 starts this season.
- Out of Heaney’s 26 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 54 | 74 | 74 | 3.65 | 7 | 1 |
| Will Smith | 52 | 51.1 | 50 | 3.86 | 7 | 22 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 51 | 51 | 92 | 2.82 | 13 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 45 | 55.1 | 45 | 3.74 | 11 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 44 | 44.2 | 50 | 3.02 | 4 | 2 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- The Astros will send France (10-5) out to make his 20th start of the season. He is 10-5 with a 3.49 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 116 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- France heads into this matchup with 16 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Astros have been the moneyline underdog in four of France’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
- France’s team has put together an 11-8 record over his 19 starts.
- France has had 19 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 10 of those games.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 61 | 62 | 87 | 2.03 | 22 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 59 | 60 | 61 | 3.15 | 11 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 58 | 57 | 66 | 1.89 | 26 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 56 | 56.1 | 63 | 3.36 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 56 | 57.2 | 68 | 5.15 | 9 | 1 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers are 46-18 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Texas has gone 32-13 in its 45 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 108 games this season, and is 71-37 in those contests.
- Texas is 66-23 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 48 games this season, and are 30-18 in those contests.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They have won 35 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Houston has won 24 of its 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 71-24 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Houston has won 66 of its 77 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 36-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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