The San Diego Padres (65-73) and Philadelphia Phillies (75-61) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at PETCO Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series victory over the Giants, and the Phillies a series loss to the Brewers.
The Phillies are an underdog (+101 on the moneyline) when they visit the Padres (-121). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of September 4, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -121 | +101 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 56, or 52.3%, of the 107 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has entered 89 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 49-40 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of 138 opportunities.
- The Padres are 66-72-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.98 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (47.5%) in those games.
- This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win 14 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 61 of its 136 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 136 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 62-74-0 against the spread.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 26 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- When Hill starts, his team is 9-17-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw four innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Hill has started 26 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
- In 27 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Hill’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Hill’s team is 10-16 when he starts this season.
- In Hill’s 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | 51 | 47.2 | 77 | 1.13 | 0 | 28 |
| Nick Martínez | 50 | 94.1 | 86 | 3.91 | 15 | 1 |
| Scott Barlow | 50 | 56.1 | 65 | 4.95 | 3 | 13 |
| Luís Garcia | 50 | 51 | 46 | 4.24 | 9 | 0 |
| Tim Hill | 44 | 42.2 | 26 | 4.22 | 9 | 0 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker (14-5) gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his 27th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.11 ERA in 142 1/3 innings pitched, with 119 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Monday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Walker will try to build on a 15-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per outing).
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Phillies have a 5-4 record in Walker’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Walker’s team has a 19-7 record in his starts this season.
- Walker has started 26 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 10 of them.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 60 | 58 | 78 | 3.57 | 4 | 22 |
| Gregory Soto | 57 | 51 | 51 | 4.76 | 18 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 47 | 39.2 | 39 | 3.63 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 41 | 42.2 | 57 | 2.53 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 37 | 78 | 97 | 3.23 | 8 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have a 33-26 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
- San Diego has gone 24-8 in its 32 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 50-24 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- San Diego is 52-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 30-24 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 38 of the 51 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has won 31 of its 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 91 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 59-32.
- In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-14.
- They have a 33-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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